Filip Tomic
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Only 6 teams are in action today in the NBA, but that’s not going to stop us from landing another same-game parlay, right? The action begins with the New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks game at 7:30 pm ET, and I’ve prepared a same-game parlay which is available below.
Be sure to check our predictions on the side and total for other 2 games as well, but let’s focus on the Pelicans and Knicks now.
Over 210.5 total points (-110)
Julius Randle under 1.5 made threes (-102)
Jonas Valanciunas over 17.5 points (-104)
Brandon Ingram to score 25+ points (+144)
Parlay odds: +1370
Over 210.5 total points (-110)
The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 225.7 points and the over has cashed in 6 of them. The previous 7 meetings have all seen more points scored than tonight’s total. The Pelicans defense has been shaky, especially on the road, where they are allowing 111 points per game. New York is also worse defensively at home than on the road, giving up an average of 105.8 points per game, and the Knicks are coming off a game in which they allowed 112 points against Minnesota. With the 3 most recent meetings all cashing the over, there’s a really good chance that happens tonight as well.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks
Julius Randle under 1.5 made threes (-102)
Julius Randle hasn’t been as productive from the 3-point line over his last 6 games. During that stretch he’s gone under 1.5 threes in 4 games, plus he’s coming off a 0-for-4 game against the Timberwolves last night which could be a hit to his confidence. Overall in January he is averaging just 1.4 3-pointers on 5.8 attempts, which equals to just 24%, a decrease of 9% compared to the previous month. The Pelicans are coming off a game against the Celtics in which they held them to just 31% shooting from distance, even though they ended up losing that game, that’s a really good sign for our bet.
Jonas Valanciunas over 17.5 points (-104)
Jonas Valanciunas has been the 2nd-best scorer for the Pelicans this season, filling in the void left behind Zion Williamson as the superstar recovers from his foot injury. In his last 10 games he is averaging 17.7 points per game, but on the road that average jumps up to 18.6 in 20 games played. His shooting percentages are also really solid for a center — he’s averaging 55% makes from the field and almost 47% from 3-point land in road games this season. Against the Knicks he has already had a huge game this season. In just 33 minutes of play he put up 27 points on 66% shooting while grabbing 14 rebounds. With Nerlens Noel missing this game, the Knicks will once again be thin on the inside, and if Karl-Anthony Towns can drop 20 on them, so can Jonas.
Brandon Ingram to score 25+ points (+144)
Brandon Ingram’s shooting has been off in the past 2 games, but that should change tonight as he has a favorable matchup against the Knicks. In 2 of his last 3 games against them he has gone over 25 points and if the total is going to go over tonight, Ingram will have to play a huge role in the Pelicans’ offense. He has led his team in scoring in 5 of the last 6 games and during that stretch he has had 2 games of 30 or more points. He is averaging 23.3 points per game on the road this season, which is a 1.3-point increase compared to his home games. His shooting percentage is also better on the road and he attempts and makes more free throws while shooting a better percentage. All in all, if he matches up with Evan Fournier he should have the height advantage and hopefully that can proves to be the difference.
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