Ricky Dimon
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We have a nine-game slate in the NBA on Monday, highlighted by a double-header on ESPN. It begins with this showdown between the Golden State Warriors and Philadelphia 76ers before the Utah Jazz visit the Los Angeles Lakers. Both contests are getting the same game parlay treatment they deserve. Let’s take a look at the best such option for Golden State vs. Philadelphia, and be sure to also check out our full game preview for picks on the side and total.
76ers -12.5 alternate spread (+150)
Joel Embiid Under 32.5 points (-112)
Joel Embiid to record 12+ rebounds (-190)
Danny Green to make 3+ three-pointers (-120)
Parlay odds: +1270
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is much of the plan here, as productive performances by Joel Embiid and Danny Green would obviously go a long way toward Philadelphia winning and winning big. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with picking the under on Embiid’s points. Even if their star big man doesn’t go on another scoring binge, however, there is no reason why the 76ers can’t take care of business.
76ers -12.5 alternate spread (+150)
Despite 47 points from Stephen Curry on Saturday, Golden State still fell to Boston 119-111. Curry drained 11 three-pointers to continue his incredible scoring binge. Unfortunately for the Warriors, they may not have the services of their star player on Monday. The former Davidson standout twisted an ankle near the end of the game against Boston and is questionable for this one. Given Curry’s history of ankle issues, there is no way Golden State wants to rush him back into action. If the Warriors don’t have the advantage on the perimeter then they will be in serious trouble, because they obviously don’t have the edge down low. Embiid has also been spectacular in the month of April, averaging 30.1 points per game and leading the Sixers to a 6-1 record this month. He should once again have the size advantage down low against the Warriors, who aren’t the toughest team on the inside.
Joel Embiid Under 32.5 points (-112)
I’m just not willing to take the over on this high of a number. Even with Embiid as on fire as he is right now, he is still averaging less than this quote for the season (30. 1 ppg). Also, an under play on this prop in a way goes well with picking the Sixers to win in blowout fashion. If they do, Embiid isn’t going to see much—if any—time in the fourth quarter. Look for the star big man to watch the end of this laugher from the bench, thus keeping him under the number.
Joel Embiid to record 12+ rebounds (-190)
That being said, Embiid should have more than enough time to grab at least 12 rebounds. His two most recent rebounding totals are 13 and 14, and the Warriors are dead last in the NBA in total rebounding. They are also without James Wiseman for the rest of the season, so this team is incredibly thin in the paint. Embiid should absolutely dominate the glass from start to finish.
Danny Green to make 3+ three-pointers (-120)
Golden State is not the only team with roster issues. For the 76ers, Tobias Harris and Ben Simmons are questionable for Monday. That leaves Embiid and Green as really Philadelphia’s only reliable players. The Dubs are in the middle of the pack in terms of three-point percentage defense and they just watched the Celtics drain 15 from long range. Green sank a trio from deep against the Clippers last Friday and he has made at least two threes in 14 of the last 15 games. There is no reason why can’t get to three in this one, especially if several of his high-scoring teammates are sidelined.
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