Ricky Dimon
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We have a series on our hands in the NBA Finals, as the Milwaukee Bucks got back in it by taking Game 3 against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. But the pressure is still on the Bucks, who trail 2-1 and really have to win at home on Wednesday before going back to Phoenix for Game 5. Let’s take a look at the best same game parlay option for Suns-Bucks, and be sure to also check out our full Game 4 preview for picks on the side and total.
Phoenix Suns +4.5 (-112)
Chris Paul over 8.5 assists (-118)
Khris Middleton to score 30+ points (+200)
Parlay odds: +1239
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as another productive performance by Chris Paul would obviously go a long way toward a Phoenix cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with betting on Khris Middleton to catch fire. But even if Middleton does, there is no reason why the Suns can’t be competitive — or even win — on Wednesday.
Phoenix Suns +4.5 (-112)
The Suns have a 2-1 lead in the series even though Giannis Antetokounmpo has looked better than anyone could have expected following his recent knee injury. It is true that Phoenix got blown out on the road in Game 3, but it’s not like this team can’t win away from home. Head coach Monty Williams’ crew went 24-12 on the road during the regular season, the best such mark in the entire association, and with some room to spare. Deandre Ayton being in foul trouble right from the start had a lot to do with Sunday’s loss. If he can play smarter in Game 4, the Suns should cover and perhaps win outright.
Chris Paul Over 8.5 assists (-118)
Paul has dished out at least nine assists in five consecutive contests dating back to the Western Conference Finals. He also recorded 12 assists in Game 3 against the Clippers. Asking him to get at least on nine on Wednesday really isn’t a lot. The 36-year-old distributed eight in Game 3 despite logging only 34 minutes during what developed into a Milwaukee rout in the fourth quarter (by comparison, he played 41 minutes in Game 2). With more minutes and also what will surely be better shooting by Booker, Paul can probably hit the double-digit mark in Game 4.
Khris Middleton to score 30+ points (+200)
Middleton has always been one of the streakiest players in the sport, and these playoffs have been no exception. In the Eastern Conference Finals, he had three games with 16 points or fewer and also three with 26 or more (including one with 38). So far in the NBA Finals, his point totals are 29, 11, and 18. With Antetokounmpo having been utterly dominant the past two games, you know the Suns will be committed to limiting Milwaukee’s points in the paint. I’m expecting the perimeter to be open for Middleton, and he should be able to take advantage.
Be sure to check out our first basket best bets, including a +1400 longshot!
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