Ricky Dimon
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We have a seven-game slate in the NBA on Friday, highlighted by a double-header on ESPN (Boston Celtics vs. Brooklyn Nets and Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors). Also in action are the Southeast Division rival Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks. Let’s take a look at the best same game parlay option for Heat-Hawks, and be sure to also check out our full game preview for picks on the side and total.
Heat -5.5 (-110)
Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 three-pointers made (+120)
John Collins to score 20+ points (+200
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as a productive performance by Duncan Robinson would obviously go a long way toward a Miami win and cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with a John Collins scoring binge. But even if Collins does put up a fair amount of points, there is no reason why the Heat can’t take care of business.
Heat -5.5 (-110)
It may be time for the Heat to once again show they are contenders in the Eastern Conference. They have won nine of 12 games and are seventh in the East. Jimmy Butler returned after missing two games with 18 points, 11 assists, and seven rebounds in a recent victory over San Antonio. Up next is an Atlanta team that Miami can tie atop the Southeast Division with a win on Friday. The Heat are no strangers to success in this head-to-head matchup; they are 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings and 5-2 straight up in the last seven. The Hawks will be depleted for this one—the question is just how much. Trae Young is out after spraining an ankle in an overtime loss at New York earlier this week. Clint Capela, De’Andre Hunter, Danilo Gallinari, Tony Snell, and Kris Dunn are also dealing with injuries.
Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 three-pointers made (+120)
The Hawks are third-worst in the NBA in opponents’ three-point shooting percentage and ninth-worst in opponents’ three-pointers made per game. They just watched the Knicks go 19-for-35 from the land of plenty. Robinson should have no trouble capitalizing on such defensive issues on the perimeter. In 11 contests this month, Robinson is averaging 3.7 triples. He has drained at least four threes on six occasions in April.
John Collins to score 20+ points (+200)
With Young sidelined, Atlanta’s offense will have to go through Collins. The former Wake Forest star is averaging 25.5 ppg in two games against the Heat this season, and both of those were with Young playing. Collins was recently sidelined for a little more than two weeks and he has steadily improved in three games since (eight, 11, and then 18 points). I like Collins’ chances of getting to this mark regardless of Capela’s status. If Capela is on the court, he will draw the attention of Miami big man Bam Adebayo. If Capela is out, that just means more opportunities for Collins.
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