Filip Tomic
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The Utah Jazz look to close out their first-round series with the Memphis Grizzlies tonight live on NBA TV at 9.30pm ET. Will they be able to get the job done, or does Memphis still have some fight left in it?
We also have predictions on the side and total for each of tonight’s matchups, and our experts have been in phenomenal form all throughout the postseason, boasting a 40-22 record! But for now, let’s focus on our best same game parlay for Grizzlies vs. Jazz.
Ja Morant Over 25.5 Points (-108)
Bojan Bogdanovic Over 2.5 Made Threes (+124)
Mike Conley Over 7.5 Assists (-140)
Joe Ingles Under 3.5 Assists (-162)
Parlay odds: +1008
Ja Morant Over 25.5 Points (-108)
Morant has been playing big minutes for the Grizzlies in this series so far and they will need him to continue doing so if they want to avoid elimination tonight. He is his team’s only consistent reliable scoring option in this series so far.
Through the first four games, he has averaged 31 points per game on 48.4 percent shooting from the field. His three-point shooting is a concern, he’s at just 22.7 percent right now which is almost eight percent worse than what he averaged during the regular season. Despite that though, Morant has already had a 47 point game in this series. His lowest output of the series is 23 points, he has gone Over 25.5 in three of the four games played so far. He will do whatever it takes for his team to stay alive in this series, so expect a ton of shot attempts tonight.
CREDIT – Chris Nicoll (USA Today)
Bojan Bogdanovic Over 2.5 Made Threes (+124)
I’m actually surprised by the price we are getting for this bet given the fact that he has been Utah’s secondary scoring option all season long. During the stretch when Donovan Mitchell went down, Bogdanovic averaged nearly 30 points per game, earning himself player of the week honors.
He’s averaging 18.8 points in the series so far, including 2.5 makes per game from the three-point line on six attempts. He’s also been very efficient when it comes to shooting the ball, averaging 60.9 percent from two-point range and 41.7 percent from three-point range. His percentage would have been even better if it wasn’t for the 4-for-11 performance in the series opener. He’s gone over 2.5 threes in two games so far in this series and this being a closeout game for the Jazz, I think we will see a higher scoring game which should result in a few more attempts than usual for Bogey — we can only hope he drains at least three of them.
Mike Conley Over 7.5 Assists (-140)
Conley’s numbers have gone up across the board in these playoffs. He’s averaging 20 points per game and 10.3 assists in 34.5 minutes per game. That’s 4.3 assists per game more than what he was averaging during the regular season. At 33 years of age, he hasn’t really had much playoff success in his career so far, he is very motivated to go for a deep run with the Jazz and this might be his best chance yet.
His teammates have also been scoring well, the Jazz have averaged 122.7 points through the first four games and there’s plenty of options to share the ball to on the offensive end including Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Clarkson, and Ingles. I wouldn’t be surprised if Conley had another double-digit assist game tonight.
Joe Ingles Under 3.5 Assists (-162)
Ingles is just a role player for the Jazz — he isn’t really in charge of setting up the offense and distributing the ball. His main objective is to get open and drain shots from distance. He hasn’t had the best of series so far, averaging only 7.5 points in the first four games. As far as assists go, he has averaged 2.5 of them and has gone under 3.5 in three of the four games which bodes well for our bet. The only reason he had four in the previous game is that Mike Conley had an off night and finished with seven. The Jazz will need Ingles to be more productive on the scoring front further down in the playoffs, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they tried to get him going in this game against the Grizzlies.
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