Filip Tomic
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Winner takes all this Sunday as the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns square off in Game 7 of their second round series with the score tied at 3-3. Tip-off is set for 8:00 pm ET on TNT. I’ve prepared a same game parlay which is available below.
We also have predictions on the side and total for Game 7 of the Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics series, don’t forget to check them out.
Let’s get into it!
Mikal Bridges over 1.5 made threes (+180)
Chris Paul under 17.5 points (-118)
Luka Doncic to score 35+ points (-111)
Parlay odds: +747
Mikal Bridges over 1.5 made threes (+180)
Role players such as Mikal Bridges are expected to contribute in these games and we’ve seen some big performances over the years in Game 7s. Bridges has had an okay series so far, scoring in double-digits 4 times and averaging 10.5 points per game. Although he’s making only 0.8 threes per game, he has made 3 of his last 6 shots and has drained 2 of them in Game 5, which was played in Phoenix. Dallas has done a solid job defending the 3-ball in this series, but in the 3 wins the Suns have hit 13, 12 and 11 shots from the perimeter. With their season on the line, I expect Bridges and the rest of the role players to be sharp in this one. Fingers crossed he can connect on 2 shots from deep.
Be sure to check out our full Game 7 preview for Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns
Chris Paul under 17.5 points (-118)
It has been a tough series from a scoring standpoint for Chris Paul, especially over the last 4 games, in which he’s recorded a total of 37 points or an average of just 9.2 per game. After starting the series with 2 big games at home, he has since then scored under 17.5 points in the next 4 failing to record double-digit shot attempts in any of those games. He has been in constant foul trouble this series and has turned the ball over an average of 4.5 games over his last 4 outings. Can he clean all that up in Game 7? It’s possible, but if I was Monty Williams, I would use Paul to set up my offense and get everyone else involved. Role players Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson and Cam Payne all have to contribute for Phoenix to pull this one out. At the age of 37, I’m afraid Paul isn’t able to carry a team by scoring on a consistent basis, so look for Devin Booker to have a big scoring game, while Paul distributes more.
Luka Doncic to score 35+ points (-111)
Only Michael Jordan averages more points per game in NBA postseason history than Luka Doncic, who is currently at 32.5 per game in 22 played. When it comes to elimination games nobody is as good as Luka. In 3 such games in his career he’s averaging 39 points per game and although it’s not a huge sample size, it’s a pretty clear indicator of how big he comes up in moments when it matters the most. So far in his NBA career he hasn’t been involved in a bigger moment than a Game 7 on the road with a place in the Western Conference finals on the line. I’m expecting big things from him on Sunday, he has scored over 30 points in 5 of 9 games played this postseason and is averaging 32.2 per game in this series. Sure, he is a high-volume scorer, but what else can you do when your next best scoring option is Jalen Brunson? Expect Luka to get buckets in this one.
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