Filip Tomic
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The pressure is on the Boston Celtics tonight as they head into Game 4 against the Milwaukee Bucks with a 2-1 deficit. Tip-off is at 7:30 pm ET on TNT and I’ve prepared a same game parlay which you can find below.
We also have predictions on the side and total for Game 4 of the Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors series, so don’t forget to check them out later.
Let’s dive in!
Boston Celtics 1-10 win margin (+195)
Jayson Tatum to score 30+ points (+116)
Bobby Portis to score 15+ points (+220)
Parlay odds: +1706
Boston Celtics 1-10 win margin (+195)
Boston missed getting back home-court advantage on Saturday as Game 3 was similar to Game 1 in a lot of ways. After Game 1 they bounced back in a big way, and they are no strangers to winning on the road in these playoffs, having already done so twice in the first round. After a sub-par performance on Saturday, I’m expecting a bounce-back game from Jayson Tatum as Boston cannot rely on 35-year old Al Horford to carry them with 22 and 16 rebounds on a nightly basis.
The key to the win tonight will be slowing down Giannis Antetokounmpo, and this Boston defense is more than capable of doing it. They were able to contain Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving in the first round, and Giannis was the first player to score 40 on them this postseason. Surely that cannot happen in back-to-back games. Let’s give the Celtics the benefit of the doubt and back them to even things up before going back home for Game 5.
Be sure to check out our full Game 4 preview for Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jayson Tatum to score 30+ points (+116)
Jayson Tatum played arguably the worst game of his postseason career in Game 3, scoring just 10 points on 4-for-19 shooting from the field without making a single 3-pointer from 6 attempts. During the regular season he averaged over 30 points against the Bucks and was on a streak of 6 games in a row (and 7 of 8) with 4+ made threes in their head-to-head meetings. I’m expecting a bounce-back performance tonight. He is averaging 25.4 points in 7 games this postseason, but that number needs to go to at least 30 if the Celtics are serious about winning at Milwaukee.
He’s already had a 42-point game against Milwaukee this season and in 2 of the last 3 visits to Fiserv Forum he dropped 25 and 34 points. Look for him to assert himself early. It might also be a good bet to back him to score over 6.5 points in the first quarter, but let’s go for 30+ for the entire game in case he gets off to a slower start.
Bobby Portis to score 15+ points (+220)
Bobby Portis had an off-night in Game 3 and finished with just 9 points on just 3-for-9 shooting from the field. In the 5 games prior to that he had averaged 14.8 points a game since the injury to Khris Middleton. He normally averages around 10 shots per game, he hasn’t got over that in the past 2 games because Jrue Holiday and Giannis have taken it upon themselves to carry the Bucks offense. In Game 3 they took 30 shots, I don’t think that is sustainable.
Other players will have to get involved more and that’s where Portis can step in as the 3rd leading scorer on the team. Grayson Allen and Pat Connaughton have shown flashes, but neither is as consistent as Portis. He’s averaged 17 points per game during the regular season in 4 meetings with the Celtics. With the Cs’ defense focusing on stopping Giannis, he should have enough room out there to give us at least 15.
Now check our same-game parlay for Grizzlies vs Warriors (+884 odds!)
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