Filip Tomic
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The Dallas Mavericks are right back in their series against the Suns. However the pressure is still on them not to go down 3-1 before going back to Phoenix. Tip-off for Game 4 is set for 3:30 pm ET on ESPN. I’ve prepared a same game parlay which is available below.
We also have predictions on the side and total for Game 4 of the Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers series, don’t forget to check them out.
Let’s get into it!
Deandre Ayton over 17.5 points (-106)
Chris Paul to record 10+ assists (+162)
Luka Doncic to record 10+ assists (+164)
Parlay odds: +1061
Deandre Ayton over 17.5 points (-106)
After shying away from Ayton in Game 2 and him scoring just 9 points, the Suns came back to him in Game 3 and he responded with a 16-point performance. I’m not sure why they aren’t using him more, to be honest. Dallas simply doesn’t have anyone on their roster as tall and agile as him on the inside so he can put up really good numbers if the Suns revolved their game plan around him a bit more. So far in the postseason, he is averaging 19.2 points per game on 65% shooting from the field and he’s even had 2 games in which he hit a three-pointer.
The Mavs are really struggling at defending the paint and rebounding. For the season they are allowing 47 points per game on the inside and during this postseason run only 2 teams (Chicago and Minnesota) are worse in opponent rebounds per game. Look for Ayton to exploit that here.
Be sure to check out our full Game 4 preview for Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks
Chris Paul to record 10+ assists (+162)
If the close-out game against New Orleans was Paul’s best game of this postseason run, Game 3 against the Mavs could very likely end up being his worst. He had just 12 points and 4 assists on 55% shooting which is decent, but he ended the game with 7 turnovers which was just 1 shy of his career-worst mark of 8. It’s hard to imagine an experienced player like CP3 allowing that to happen in back-to-back games, especially not in his 1st game since turning 37.
Paul is averaging 9.2 assists per game in these playoffs. Against the Mavs in 3 regular-season meetings, he had 13 per game and on the road in 32 games this season he’s averaging exactly 10 dimes. He is yet to crack the double-digit mark in this series and I think that changes tonight as he leads the Suns to an important win on the road.
Now check out JutPicks’ best NBA Playoffs player props for Sunday!
Luka Doncic to record 10+ assists (+164)
Scoring 45 and 35 points over the first 2 games didn’t yield much of a result for Luka and company, as his Mavs lost both games fairly easily. He got his teammates involved in Game 3 by dishing out 9 assists and his teammate Jalen Brunson actually led the team in scoring, which isn’t something we see often with Luka on the floor. Three other teammates also scored in double-figures and the result was a 9-point home win which puts the Mavs somewhat back in this series. Luka is more than capable of repeating that performance tonight – he is averaging 10.3 assists per game in 6 games during this postseason run.
The Suns rank among the best defensive teams when it comes to stopping ball movement, but Luka has been an unsolvable puzzle so far as multiple defenders have tried and failed in containing him. I think he has another double-digit assist game tonight.
Don’t forget to read our same game parlay for Heat vs 76ers (+978 odds)
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