Filip Tomic
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We have a potential NBA Finals matchup coming our way tonight in Milwaukee, as the Bucks host the Oklahoma City Thunder. Tipoff is at 7:00 pm ET on NBA TV, I’ve prepared a tasty +551 odds Same Game Parlay to enhance your viewing experience. Continue reading below to see my bet.
Don’t forget to head over to our NBA Picks page for selections on the spread and total for Sunday’s 6-game slate.
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
OKC Thunder ML (+116)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score 30+ points (-150)
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 0.5 made threes (+136)
Same Game Parlay odds: +551
OKC Thunder ML (+116)
Oklahoma City will be relying on health to beat the Milwaukee Bucks on the road tonight. The Bucks currently have both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton on the injury report. There is a chance both of them will play, however their hamstring and ankle injuries mean they won’t be at 100% here. In games played without Giannis, Milwaukee is only 3-2 SU this season.
That’s great news for a hungry Thunder side that is on a run of 6 wins in 7 games against Eastern Conference opponents. They’re also 7-1 SU in their last 8 overall and 4-1 SU in their last 5 on the road. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is also building up his MVP case, if the Thunder can wrap up the number one seed that would certainly help his campaign. Although they are on a 5-game home winning streak, the Bucks haven’t been convincing in games played at the Fiserv Forum this season — going just 16-19 ATS. I think the Thunder are worth a bet as road underdogs.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score 30+ points (-150)
Gilgeous-Alexander always plays well against Damian Lillard. In the last 3 meetings he is averaging 35.3 points per game; the last time they played each other he finished with 44 points. Going from Jrue Holiday to Lillard was a big downgrade defensively for Milwaukee and opposing guards have punished them all season long. Milwaukee allows the 7th-most of points per game from opposing point guards and the 11th most from shooting guards. Since the All-Star Game, SGA has scored 30 points in 11 times in 15 games played. He has also cleared this line twice in 3 meetings with the Bucks, from the time when Milwaukee still had Holiday to defend him. With that problem out the way, I think SGA will have a big game — solidifying his case even further for the regular-season MVP award.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 0.5 made threes (+136)
The hamstring injury Giannis is dealing with is a concern, but that shouldn’t have an effect on his 3-point shooting. In fact, it might even be a positive from a standpoint of his shot selection. The biggest issue when dealing with this type of injury is explosiveness, so Antetokounmpo may settle more for jump shots instead of taking the ball to the basket. His 3-ball has been really solid over the last 11 games at 47.6% efficiency and 0.9 made threes per game. He has failed to clear this line only 3 times in those 11 games; with that type of consistency we’re getting really solid odds at +136 for him to make just one shot. The last time he faced the Thunder he went 4-for-4 from distance; he has also made a 3 at least once in 7 of the last 10 head-to-head. OKC also finds itself in the bottom 15 when it comes to opponent 3-point efficiency in road games, so I’m confident Giannis will make one.
