Filip Tomic
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Minnesota was able to avoid the sweep by winning Game 4 in Dallas, but once again itsacks are against the wall as it hosts the Mavericks in Game 5 at Target Center on Thursday night. Tipoff is at 8:30 pm ET on TNT and I have prepared a Mavericks vs Timberwolves Same Game Parlay to spice things up.
You can also find out our NBA picks on the side and total for every game of the NBA postseason, including the NBA Finals starting on June 6! But for now, let’s dive into my Mavericks vs Timberwolves Same Game Parlay picks.
Timberwolves ML (-196)
Naz Reid to score 15+ points (+320)
Rudy Gobert to record 1+ blocks (-360)
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Same Game Parlay odds: +498
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Minnesota Timberwolves ML over Dallas Mavericks (-196)
Karl-Anthony Towns finally answered the call. After struggling in the opening 3 games of this series, KAT had his most efficient game of the series by far — scoring 25 points on 9-for-13 from the field. He also went 4-for-5 from downtown, hitting a couple of 3s late in the game to keep the Timberwolves afloat. Anthony Edwards also stepped up with 29, making the most out of the absence of Dereck Lively II. Both teams have now won on the road. so we have ourselves a series.
With 2 of the next 3 games being in Minnesota, the Timberwolves are still pretty much alive. No team ever has come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA playoffs. Last season we saw the Boston Celtics come back from 3-0 to tie things up at 3-3; could something similar be on the cards? It’s too early to say, but just like in Game 4 I am still not yet ready to say goodbye to this Minnesota team. The atmosphere will be electric at Target Center on Thursday, I think the Timberwolves will come out with a lot of energy and that could make all the difference for Ant Man and company to win and force Game 6.
Naz Reid to score 15+ points (+320)
Everyone is allowed a bad game from time to time and Naz Reid just had his in Game 4 where he scored just 6 points off the pine. Luckily for him though, his teammates stepped up and were able to pull it out in the end. With that poor performance out the way, I believe Naz Reid will bounce back in a big way in Game 5. He scored 15, 23 and 14 points in the first 3 games of this series, clearing this line with ease in the 2 games played at Target Center. Against the Mavs in the regular season have averaged 15.8 points per game while shooting almost 54% from the field and 56% from 3. There is no way Minnesota can win back-to-back games without a major contribution from the Sixth Man of the Year. Dallas really missed Dereck Lively II on the interior, surrendering 46 points inside the paint. I expect the T-Wolves to be just as aggressive in Game 5 and hopefully Reid can lead the charge off the bench.
Rudy Gobert to record 1+ blocks (-360)
Rudy Gobert had a massive impact in the Game 4 victory, recording the highest offensive rating on the Timberwolves despite finishing with just 13 points scored. However, I’m looking at him to set the tone defensively in a pivotal Game 5. The Defensive Player of the Year is averaging exactly 1 block per game in this series and has recorded a block in 8 of his last 11 games this postseason.
We can notice a trend of Dallas’s points in the paint dropping every single game since the start of this series. After opening with 62 paint points in Game 1, that number has gone down all the way to just 36 in Game 4 — so it’s quite evident that Gobert’s defense on the inside is bothering the Mavs’ penetrators. With the Wolves’ season once again on the line, they will need the Frenchman to deliver yet another vintage performance on defense. I wouldn’t be surprised if he finished with multiple blocks, but let’s go with just 1 as the slightly safer option.
