Filip Tomic
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An intense matchup is expected tonight in Sacramento as the Kings entertain the Dallas Mavericks in what will be a battle for playoff positioning. Sacramento leads the regular-season series 2-0, Can the Mavs pull one back? Tipoff is at 10:00 pm ET on TNT. I have prepared a Mavericks vs Kings Same Game Parlay, which is available below. For predictions on the side and total for the rest of Tuesday’s slate simply visit our NBA picks page.
Mavericks ML (+108)
De’Aaron Fox to score 25+ points (-130)
Domantas Sabonis to record 8+ assists (-145)
Same Game Parlay odds: +515
Dallas Mavericks ML over Sacramento Kings (+108)
This is a make-or-break moment for the Mavericks. They are down 2-0 in the regular-season series and because of that they are 7th in the West standings behind the Kings. Getting the win on Tuesday would put them over Sacramento but would also give them a chance to come closer to the Clippers and Pelicans — who are 4th and 5th, respectively. With 8 wins in 9 games, the Mavs shown a lot of promise — they just have to maintain their level of play from the past 2 weeks or so.
The Mavs are 4-1 ATS in 5 road games. They also have rest advantage on their side, as Sacramento played late on Monday against the Philadelphia 76ers. In 12 games with no rest this season, the Kings have just 6 wins. In their latest game in this scenario they lost to the lowly Washington Wizards, so I think this is an ideal opportunity for Dallas to get a win and send out a message that it is a formidable team in the West right now. Let’s back the Mavs as road underdogs.
We also have a Lakers vs Bucks Same Game Parlay at +401 odds for tonight’s other matchup on TNT
De’Aaron Fox to score 25+ points (-130)
Fox has remained consistent for the most part over the last 2 months, averaging 25.9 points in February and 25.6 in March. He has cleared this line in 2 of the 3 most recent games and I really like his matchup against Luka Doncic. Fox has the speed and agility advantage over the much slower and taller Slovenian; that has resulted in Fox scoring 30 and 34 points in the 2 meetings with the Mavericks this year. He shot 50% of better in both of those games and even had a performance with 6 triples made back in November. Over the course of the last 10 meetings with Dallas he is averaging 27.5 points per game and he is on a run of 6 straight games of 25+ points. We have seen improvements by the Dallas defense lately, but containing Fox will be a challenge since neither Doncic nor Kyrie Irving are plus players on the defensive end.
We also have an NBA mega parlay at +682 odds for tonight featuring this Lakers vs Bucks matchup!
Domantas Sabonis to record 8+ assists (-145)
Sabonis has his eyes set on breaking the all-time consecutive double-doubles record. Following Monday’s win over Philadelphia, he has now tied the longest streak since the NBA/ABA merger at 54 consecutive games in a row with a double-double. Along the way Sabonis has also had a ton of triple-doubles, showing that he isn’t only a threat to score or rebound, but he can also make plays for his teammates. Against Philly on Monday he finished with 10 assists — that was his 3rd game in 4 outings with at least 8 dimes. This Dallas defense has really struggled to contain opposing teams’ ball movement. Over the Mavs’ last 3 games teams are averaging 29.3 assists per game against them; that’s the 8th worst mark in the NBA. Dallas just isn’t built to handle centers like Sabonis, so I think he’s in for a very productive game — sadly for him in a losing effort.
