Filip Tomic
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Will the Warriors advance to their 6th NBA Finals in 8 years? Or can the Mavericks avoid elimination once again and send this series back to Dallas? Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals starts at 9:00 pm ET on TNT tonight, and you can check out my same game parlay for the big matchup below.
We also have predictions on the side and total for Game 6 of the Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat series, so be sure to check those out.
Let’s dive into tonight’s game!
Dallas Mavericks 1-10 win margin (+330)
Spencer Dinwiddie to score 20+ points (+630)
Parlay odds: +2564
Dallas Mavericks 1-10 win margin (+330) over Golden State Warriors
It might be an unpopular bet to go with Dallas to win here, but despite them being down 3-1 in the series, the last 3 games have been really close. Dallas wins when they shoot the ball well, especially from downtown. In Game 4, they connected on 50% of field goal attempts, including 20-of-43 three-point shots. With all the pressure on the Warriors to close out tonight, they might have a sneaky chance of stealing one on the road.
Golden State is yet to score under 109 points in this series, so if Dallas is serious about winning here they’ll have to improve their defense as well, so backing the under might also be a decent bet. With the previous 3 games all being decided by 10 points or less, we could be in for another close matchup. If that happens, then at +330 odds, it’s worth going with Dallas to wind up on the winning end.
Be sure to check out our full Game 5 preview for Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors
Spencer Dinwiddie to score 20+ points (+630)
Dinwiddie has slowly come to life over the past 2 games, averaging 18 points per game. He has now scored in double figures in 4 of his last 5 outings, and in 2 of those games, he had 26 and 30 against the Warriors and Suns. Getting a 20-point performance out of him would be amazing for the Mavs and it’s not really all that far-fetched. He is averaging 13.5 per game in these playoffs, but what gives me optimism is that against the Warriors he averaged 20.5 per game in 2 meetings during the regular season. He shot 64% from the field and 50% from three in those 2 games, so we know he is capable of special performances like that.
A lot depends on Luka Doncic and how he plays. Luka is averaging just 5.1 assists per game in Mavs losses this postseason, so it’s pretty clear that he has to get others involved in order for the Mavs to get this series back to Dallas for a Game 6. Let’s cross our fingers that Dinwiddie gets some open looks tonight.
Also check out our best player prop bet for Game 5 of Mavericks vs Warriors
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