Filip Tomic
Show Bio
Last night I cashed my Nuggets vs Timberwolves Same Game Parlay at +400 odds and I’m going for back-to-back winners tonight, this time targeting the huge Game 4 between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers! Following a convincing win in Game 3, the Celtics are hoping to deliver the knock-out punch in their series against the Cavs. Tip-off is at 7:00 pm ET on ABC and I’ve prepared a Celtics vs Cavaliers Same Game Parlay to add to the drama. You can also find out our NBA picks on the side and total for both Celtics vs Cavaliers and Thunder vs Mavericks tonight.
Celtics ML (-340)
Jayson Tatum over 9.5 rebounds (-146)
Donovan Mitchell over 30.5 points (+102)
Max Strus 2+ made threes (-185)
Celtics vs Cavaliers Same Game Parlay odds: +537
Boston Celtics ML over Cleveland Cavaliers (-340)
Order has been restored in the Celtics vs Cavaliers series following Boston’s convincing 106-93 win in Game 3. Although the final score might indicate a somewhat close game, the Celtics led by as many as 23 points and were never in danger of letting that lead slip away. Boston is clearly the better team here and the Game 2 loss was more due to them having an off night as opposed to Cleveland dominating. Saturday’s win was Boston 4th in the last 6 meetings and in Game 4 they have an opportunity to push the Cavs to the brink of elimination.
Jarrett Allen’s absence inside the paint is really starting to show as Boston scored 50 of their 106 points in that area. He’s still questionable ahead of Game 4 and the likelihood of him playing is slim to none according to the latest reports. Boston is 5-1 ATS/SU in their last 6 games, while the Cavs have covered just twice in their last 8 outings. The spread has remained the same as in Game 3 and another double-digit victory shouldn’t be too difficult for the Celtics to achieve here. I’ll take Boston to take a commanding 3-1 lead.
Read our full Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions
Jayson Tatum over 9.5 rebounds (-146)
Although Game 3 was Tatum’s highest-scoring game of the postseason, he still wasn’t as effective from the field as he normally was during the regular season. Because of that, I’m more confident in backing him to get double-digit rebounds in Game 4. The absence of Kristaps Porzingis has propelled Tatum into being the number-one rebounder on the team and after averaging 10.4 boards a game against Miami, he has remained consistent with 10.3 through the first 3 games of this series. In only 2 of the 8 games so far this postseason he has failed to clear the double-digit mark rebounding-wise, so the numbers are on our side here. He’s also currently on a run of at least 10 boards in 7 of the last 8 meetings with Cleveland, while averaging 11 per game. This bet is a no-brainer for me.
Donovan Mitchell over 30.5 points (+102)
For an offense that has failed to clear the 100-point mark 7 times in 10 games, Donovan Mitchell’s contribution is crucial. The 6-foot-3 guard has been using his strength to get whatever he wants inside the painted area and he’s 4th among active players in this postseason, averaging 13.4 points per game down low. He’s making the most out of the C’s somewhat thin front line, so expect a lot of drives towards the basket in Game 4.
The good news is, even if the Celtics take that part of his game away, he can still do damage from the three-point line. Through the first 3 games, he’s making 5.3 threes per game on a staggering 53.3% efficiency. Mitchell has failed to score at least 31 points just once in his last 5 games and during that run he exploded for 50 in a road loss at Orlando. In order for the home team to stay competitive here, he might be forced to go supernova once again.
Max Strus 2+ made threes (-185)
His stats might have dipped a little this postseason, but Strus has slowly come to life over the past 6 games, clearing this line a total of 5 times. His minutes have gone up significantly compared to the first round, mainly because of the experience he gained while playing with the Miami Heat in previous years. With his team basically on the ropes here, Strus will play a vital role in getting the Cavs going offensively. He averaged 11 points per game in 2 meetings with the Celtics during the regular season while shooting 40% from downtown. In the last 10 meetings with Boston he has scored 2 threes 6 times, and I believe he will show up for his team when it matters the most.
