Filip Tomic
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Orlando proved the doubters wrong in Game 3 against Cleveland and now has an opportunity to level things up as it hosts Game 4 at Kia Center. Tipoff is at 1:00 pm ET on TNT, and to spice things up I have prepared a Same Game Parlay that you can find below.
For predictions on the side and total for the rest of Saturday’s NBA postseason games simply visit our NBA Picks page.
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Magic -2 (-110)
Paolo Banchero Over 24.5 points (-115)
Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 assists (-128)
Same Game Parlay odds: +439
Magic -2 (-110)
Orlando made a statement in Game 2 blowing out the Cavs by 38 points, but that performance won’t mean much if it isn’t followed up with a Game 4 win. The Magic asserted themselves on the boards, winning the rebounding battle 51-32, with a total of 14 offensive rebounds. Jalen Suggs returning was a big deal; not only did he have 24 points on offense, but he also forced Mitchell into some difficult shots — making him go 6-for-16 from the field.
Saturday’s game is likely be a bit more competitive as the Cavs will make the necessary adjustments, but I am still rolling with Orlando. Only the Timberwolves had a better defense in home games during the regular season; opponents were scoring just 107.7 points per 100 possessions on the Magic. It probably won’t be another double-digit victory, but Banchero and company should have enough to cover the 2-point spread.
Paolo Banchero Over 24.5 points (-115)
Banchero is growing up in front of our eyes and I’m loving it. At 6’10” he is a power forward, but moves like a guard and the Cavaliers haven’t had an answer for him in the 3 games so far in this series. Game 3 was his most dominant performance yet; he finished with 31 points and 14 rebounds while shooting 50% from the field. Banchero failed to shoot 50% only in Game 2 (9-for-20), and I just think the consistency he has shown over the past month or so warrants us backing him to have another big game on Saturday. In the last 10 meetings with Cleveland he is averaging 23.9 points per game. In order for the Magic to level things he will have to carry the offense again. The Magic look way more comfortable at home; I expect them to go over 100 points once again, with Banchero being the primary scoring option.
Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 assists (-128)
The 38-point loss in Game 2 wasn’t a good look for the Cavs; most of the starters played under 30 minutes because the game was out of reach by the 3rd quarter. Mitchell was relatively productive with 13 points and 7 assists in just 27 mins played, but he has to do a much better job at getting his teammates involved if they want to be competitive on Saturday. Over his last 10 games against the Magic he is averaging exactly 5 assists per game. Earlier this season he dished out 13 dimes in a game played at the Kia Center. Orlando does a fairly good job at limiting the opponent’s ball movement, but as good as the Magic’s team defense is I don’t think they can stop Mitchell in 1-on-1 situations. For the Cavs’ sake he should try and aim to get to double-digit assists.
