Filip Tomic
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The winner will advance to the NBA Finals after the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat clash in Game 7 of their best-of-7 series. Tip-off is set for 8:30 pm ET tonight on ESPN, and you can check out my same game parlay below.
Let’s get into it!
Boston Celtics 1-10 win margin (+175)
Over 195.5 total points (-110)
PJ Tucker over 1.5 made threes (+176)
Parlay odds: +1123
Boston Celtics 1-10 win margin (+175)
After blowing a chance to advance on their own court in Game 6, the Celtics now have another opportunity to do so in Miami and I think they can do it this time. The Heat rely too much on Jimmy Butler for offense, I can’t see the Celtics making the same mistakes they did in Game 6 which allowed Butler to go off on them. Expect Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown to put extra pressure on Jimmy in this one, and don’t be surprised if he sees a couple of double-teams coming his way. If that’s the case, then the Heat could be in trouble as relying on a banged-up Kyle Lowry to carry them offensively isn’t a good idea. Home-court advantage hasn’t mattered all that much in this series so far as Miami has already dropped 2 home games at FTX Arena. With the news of Tyler Herro likely missing his third game in a row, it doesn’t look good for Miami as they’ve gone just 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 without him. Take Boston to win in a close one.
Be sure to check out our full Game 7 preview for Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Over 195.5 total points (-110)
The total has fallen off quite significantly and is at its lowest of all 7 games of this series tonight. That’s mainly due to Miami’s struggles scoring, but as we saw in Game 6 when Jimmy Butler has it going they are more than capable of going over 100 points even against a solid defense like Boston’s. The teams are averaging a combined 212.2 points per game in these playoffs and the total has gone over in 4 of the 6 games in the series, including 2 of the 3 games in Miami. Both teams clicked offensively in Game 6, and Lowry finally came to life which is important for the Heat coming into tonight’s game. Even though it’s a Game 7, I think both teams will be locked in offensively and we can expect them to clear the 200-point mark.
Our best player prop bet for Game 7 of Celtics vs Heat is available here
PJ Tucker over 1.5 made threes (+176)
PJ Tucker did exactly what he was supposed to do in Game 6 – he drained both of his 3-point attempts and played some really stellar defense, forcing the Celtics into some really hard shot attempts. It was the second time in 4 games that he has gone over 1.5 made threes and for this series he is averaging 1.3 per game on a really impressive 50.6% accuracy. In the series prior to this he scored 2 threes in 3 games against Philadelphia and in the first round against Atlanta he did so twice. Game 7s are usually all about experience and you won’t find many players with more playoff minutes under their belt than Tucker on the Heat roster. He’s had a steady hand in these playoffs, connecting on almost 47% shots from distance, Miami will need him to come up big as they’ve struggled on offense on a number of occasions in this series. The news of Herro not playing also helps Tucker get a few extra shots, so let’s hope he takes advantage of that.
Also check out our first-basket best bet for Celtics vs Heat!
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