Ricky Dimon
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We have a full 15-game slate as the week in Major League Baseball continues on Wednesday. Three contests are businessmen’s specials during the day as teams prepare to begin new series elsewhere later in the week. The rest of the schedule will be played at night, and that is where we find all three legs of our mega parlay. We are relying on the Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers, and Oakland Athletics.
Chicago Cubs ML (+120)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+125)
Oakland Athletics -1.5 (+110)
Parlay odds: +940
For this parlay we are going with two favorites on the run line and one underdog on the money line. Here is a breakdown of each leg, one by one.
Chicago Cubs ML over Cincinnati Reds (+120)
Wade Miley (7.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 8 K, 0 BB) led Cincinnati to a 4-3 victory over Chicago on Tuesday night, snapping the Cubs’ 7-game winning streak. That’s right, folks; the Cubs had won 7 baseball games in a row. They have a good chance to get back on track, too. The Reds just barely won Tuesday’s contest and that was with Miley being dominant. Vladimir Gutierrez (4.17 ERA, 5.10 xFIP) doesn’t project to give Milwaukee the same kind of outing. Over his last 2 starts, Gutierrez has surrendered 9 runs (8 earned) in 6.1 innings of work. For the Cubs, on the other hand, Alec Mills has allowed only 2 earned runs in 14.0 innings in his last 2 appearances.
Mills will be backed by an offense that ranks 5th in Major League Baseball in OPS (.819) over the last 15 days. Two bottom-third offenses in OPS have taken Gutierrez deep 3 times in his last 2 efforts (again, just 6.1 innings), which bodes well for the Cubs’ bats. Getting Chicago as an underdog on Wednesday is a great play.
Check out our full game preview for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Philadelphia Phillies (+125)
Heading into Tuesday, the Brewers were 0-5 against the Phillies despite being by far the better team overall this season. That all changed with a 10-0 blowout in Milwaukee’s favor. Will the home team be able to keep the momentum going on Wednesday? With Freddy Peralta on the mound, you have to like the Brewers’ chances. They are 16-7 in his 23 starts on the year, which can be explained by the fact that Peralta is 9-4 with a 2.70 ERA. Opponents are managing to hit just .154 against him, and that number dips to .131 when he pitches at home.
The Phillies have been dreadful on the road in 2021, just 32-39 (.451) away from Citizens Bank Park. Kyle Gibson is taking the mound for the visitors on Wednesday and he has been inconsistent at best since joining his new team. In his most recent outing Gibson allowed 8 hits and 8 earned runs in 5.1 innings against the Marlins. He can’t expect much run support with his offense going up against Peralta, either. Additionally, the Brewers boast one of the best back-end bullpens in the league.
Check out our full game preview for Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers
Oakland Athletics -1.5 over Chicago White Sox (+135)
The White Sox are sending Dallas Keuchel to the mound and that cannot be considered good news. Keuchel has fallen off the proverbial cliff in 2021, posting a 5.22 ERA, 6.02 xERA, and a 5.26 FIP across 139.2 innings of work. In his last 8 trips to the mound, the veteran southpaw is saddled with a 7.96 ERA and a 6.76 FIP. During this stretch he is striking out only 11.6% of opposing batters and has a walk rate of 9.3%.
Oakland will counter with Frankie Montas, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball dating back to late July (2.01 ERA and 2.43 FIP) during this hot stretch. If Montas can continue to work ahead in the count as he has done recently, he should turn in a solid outing in this one despite the fact that Chicago has been swinging the bats well.
Check out our full game preview for Chicago White Sox vs Oakland Athletics
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