Kyle Lupas
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Wednesday brings nonstop action throughout the MLB with a total of 16 games. We start our day in Miami with the Marlins and the Giants at 12:10 pm ET, have a straight doubleheader between the Royals and White Sox starting at 2:10 pm ET, and finish out the Wednesday slate in Boston between the Red Sox and Guardians. For today’s 3-leg parlay I’m sticking with the Royals, who I featured in yesterday’s mega parlay before the game was postponed, and pairing them with a favorite on the run line along with an underdog to win outright. Below I’ll provide a breakdown of each individual leg and don’t forget to check out our MLB predictions for every game today.
Royals -1.5 (-122)
Phillies -1.5 (-104)
Reds ML (+114)
MLB Parlay Odds: +663
Kansas City Royals -1.5 over Chicago White Sox (-122)
For the first leg of this parlay, I’m going back to my pick from yesterday before this game got rained out. We have the same starting pitching matchup, so my analysis remains the same today as it did yesterday. The Kansas City Royals might be one of the most pleasant surprises in the MLB to begin the year. They’re 11-6 to begin the season, 9-2 over their last 11 games, and swept the Houston Astros in a 3-game set last week. The Royals have also beaten up on the White Sox thus far, going a perfect 5-0 head-to-head while outscoring them 22-5, including a pair of shutouts and 1-run games from Chicago. The White Sox have been the worst offensive team this season and it’s not even particularly close. Through 16 games, they’ve scored a grand total of 34 runs (16 runs separate them from the A’s with 50) and have been shutout or held to 1 run 9 times already. Trying to find a path to offensive production for the White Sox is a rather difficult task considering their 2 top hitters in Luis Robert Jr. and Eloy Jimenez have been out with injuries. On the bright side, it does appear Jimenez will be back in the lineup today for what it’s worth.
The Royals will turn to Brady Singer in game 1 of the doubleheader and he’s been awfully impressive to begin his season. The 27-year-old right hander owns a 0.98 ERA through 3 starts and limited the White Sox to 1 earned run on 2 hits on April 5 in a game the Royals would win 2-1. Meanwhile, Jonathan Cannon will make his Major League debut for the White Sox in what’ll likely be a spot start, giving some extra rest to the rest of the rotation. Cannon posted a 2.79 ERA with 11 strikeouts and 5 walks with the Triple-A Charlotte Knights this season. Cannon will need to be nearly flawless given the White Sox lineup hasn’t provided much run support, and that’s not something I’m willing to bet on. Back the Royals to get their 6th consecutive win over the Sox to begin the year.
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Colorado Rockies (-104)
The Philadelphia Phillies will go for a sweep of the Colorado Rockies this evening at Citizens Bank Park with first pitch expected at 6:05 pm ET. The headline of this series through 2 games has been the stellar starting pitching for the Phillies. Aaron Nola allowed 1 earned run across 7.1 innings on Monday en route to a 2-1 Phillies’ extra-inning victory but was outdone yesterday when Ranger Suarez tossed a complete game shutout, leading to a 5-0 win. The length provided by Nola and Suarez to start the series puts the Phillies bullpen in great position as every reliever should be available if needed. Jose Alvarado, Jeff Hoffman, and Seranthony Dominguez all appeared in Monday’s game but nobody exceeded 15 pitches.
The Phillies’ bullpen should play a much larger role in tonight’s game as Cristopher Sanchez makes his 4th start of the season. Sanchez is pitching to a 3.52 ERA with an even better 3.23 xERA and is fresh off a quality start against the Pirates in which the left-hander surrendered a lone run across 6.0 innings. The Rockies are hitting just .226 as a team against lefties and their OPS goes from .804 at Coors Field to .651 on the road when they’re not benefitting from the high elevation granted at home. The Rockies are countering with right-hander Ryan Feltner, who owns a 3.38 ERA through 3 starts alongside an even better 2.43 xERA. While Feltner has been impressive, he’ll have to get past some left-handed power hitters in Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. Harper is hitting just .215 on the season but looked extremely comfortable yesterday, finishing the night 2-for-4 with an RBI double and a 2-run homer. The pitching matchup is relatively even, but the Phillies have major edges with their lineup and bullpen. Back the Phillies to win by multiple runs.
Cincinnati Reds ML over Seattle Mariners (+114)
The Cincinnati Reds were unable to come through last night and look to avoid being swept tonight when they take on the Seattle Mariners. Although the Reds finished the game with just 4 hits, it’s not to say they didn’t have opportunities to score. A baserunning blunder by Elly De La Cruz in the top of the 7th inning cost the Reds a run, and Cincinnati had the bases loaded to finish the ballgame. Logan Gilbert hurled a gem for the Mariners, going 6.2 innings with 6 strikeouts while giving up 1 run on 3 hits and 1 walk. The Reds should have better success tonight seeing right-hander Bryce Miller make his 4th start of the season.
Miller owns a 1.96 ERA with back-to-back outings in which he gave up 0 earned runs. While that might not sound great if you’re the Reds, a look at Millers’ underlying metrics reveal he’s experienced a great deal of luck to start his season. Miller owns a 3.55 xERA, ranks in the 16th percentile of ground ball rate, and routinely finds barrels, with his barrel rate ranking in the 23rd percentile at 10.2%, slightly down from the 10.9% mark he posted in 2023. Meanwhile, the Reds will send out 24-year-old left-hander Andrew Abbott, who left quite the impression after a successful rookie campaign last season. Abbott has already begun to build off his success from last season as he enters tonight’s game with a 2.60 ERA after 3 outings. Abbott has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his 3 starts and is coming off his best outing of the 3 after completing 7.0 innings on the road against the White Sox, giving up just 1 earned run on 4 hits. The Mariners are hitting just .208 as a team and Abbott has specialized in allowing weak contact thus far. Back the Reds to salvage the series before returning home on Friday.
