Mark Lammey
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The Rays were able to pull off a slight home upset against the Blue Jays in the first game of the day yesterday. They wrapped up that quick 2-game series early in order to travel up to Detroit for their long 4-game series against the Tigers. The Tigers have headed home from Minnesota after taking 1 of their 3 games against the Twins. Overall these teams haven’t been the most exciting recently, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t ways to make their matchup profitable. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our thoughts on the side and total for all of today’s games.
Tigers ML (+156)
Under 8 total runs (-105)
Parlay odds: +350
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
Tigers ML (+156)
The Rays are being given quite a lot of respect in this series opener for a team starting a former reliever on the road. However, that’s providing value on the home underdog in this situation. Tampa did not get off to a strong start to the second half of their season, losing their opening series to the Royals. Within that series was a start by Jeffrey Springs, who is on the mound for this game. The Rays went on to lose 3 of their next 4 games to the Orioles, followed by another series loss to the Guardians. With Springs’ loss in the Cleveland series, he’s now lost each of his last 2 outings to AL Central teams.
That’s not to say the Tigers are World Series-bound, but they have had some solid performances in this spot this season. In fact, one was in their opening series after the all-star break, in which they upset the Padres in 2 of 3 games. That series opener was a dominating 12-4 win with Drew Hutchison on the mound, and he will be taking the hill for this game. The Tigers were +145 underdogs against San Diego at home, so they are no stranger to the role. Although Hutchison lost his following start, he still held the Blue Jays to just a single run in his 5.0 innings. This game may not be the premier matchup of the day, but the Tigers can take the series opener just like they did the last time they faced the Rays earlier this year.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for the Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers
Under 8 total runs (-105)
This play should be even more understandable than the prediction on the side. These have been uninspiring teams at the plate of late. The Rays are still without their star shortstop Wander Franco and 2nd baseman Brandon Lowe has been in and out of the lineup. Despite winning yesterday’s game, they scored just 3 runs. That came after a 1-run performance in the game before. Similarly, they’ve been held to 3 or fewer runs in at least 2 games of each of their series since the all-star break. That includes losing to the Orioles by scores of 5-1 and 3-0.
The Tigers have been the lowest-scoring team throughout the year. To make matters worse, they have just traded left fielder Robbie Grossman to the Braves. Therefore, it’s no surprise that Detroit has stayed under the total in each of the last 8 games. Even the Tigers’ most recent upset wins have had scores of 5-3, 4-2 and 4-3. Keeping with that trend, the series opener in which they beat the Rays earlier in the season was a 3-2 win. They’ve also been a great team for unders due to their bullpen. For all of the runscoring woes, they’ve had a top-5 bullpen all season, battling with the Yankees and Astros for the best. They can still pull off this upset, but it shouldn’t be by lighting up the scoreboard.
Also check out our YRFI/NRFI best bets for today’s action!
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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