Kyle Lupas
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With just 8 gamedays remaining in the MLB regular season, a number of teams are vying for postseason positioning and Sunday brings a jam-packed slate which begins in Tampa and ends in Los Angeles with the Dodgers. Today, I’ve decided to go with a favorite on the money line, a favorite to cover the run line and an underdog to win outright. If these 3 legs hit, our MLB mega parlay will pay out at +983 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s take a closer look at this parlay and be sure to read the entire article for my reasoning and analysis for each individual leg. Also, be sure to check out our MLB predictions for every game today.
Rangers ML (-132)
Phillies -1.5 (+114)
Giants ML (+188)
MLB Parlay Odds: +983
Texas Rangers ML over Seattle Mariners (-132)
The Texas Rangers won another huge game over the Seattle Mariners yesterday and have now won 4 straight and extended their lead in the AL West to 1.5 games over the Houston Astros. Seattle now finds itself a half-game out of the AL Wild Card race and fighting for their lives with just 8 games to go. Luckily for the Mariners, they are in complete control of their destiny, as the remainder of their schedule includes 5 games against the Rangers and 3 against the Astros. This afternoon, however, I believe the Mariners get swept before returning home for that 3-game set with Houston.
Seattle hands the ball off to right-hander Bryan Woo, who’s pitching to a 3.90 ERA across 16 starts and 80.2 innings this season. All in all, Woo has had a successful season at the backend of the Seattle rotation, especially when you consider his underlying metrics which suggest he’s experienced some bad breaks with his xERA sitting at 3.22. Head-to-head, however, the Rangers had Woo’s number earlier this season and handed him his worst start of the year. Woo surrendered 6 earned runs on 7 hits and 1 walk across 2.0 innings.
Meanwhile, Rangers’ starter Nathan Eovaldi turned out one of his better starts of the season against this Seattle lineup. On June 4, Eovaldi tossed 6.0 scoreless frames while giving up just 1 hit and 2 total baserunners. Eovaldi has struggled more than usual in September, posting a 6.75 ERA over 4 starts, but in such an important game I feel much more comfortable leaning on the crafty vet than I do a rookie in Woo. I’m backing Eovaldi and the Rangers’ lineup to do enough to get the sweep.
Lock in our expert’s best MLB player prop bet of the day — we’re on a 10-2 run!
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over New York Mets (+114)
The Philadelphia Phillies are another team on the verge of a sweep as they finish off their series with the New York Mets this evening. Philly has won 4 consecutive games heading into their game with the Mets, who have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Mets trot out right-hander Jose Butto, who’s been going back and forth between New York and Triple-A Syracuse for most of the season. With the Mets, Butto owns a respectable 3.09 ERA across 32.0 innings, but a concerning 19 walks to just 29 strikeouts. The Phillies have been one of the most dangerous lineups this season and they’ve scored at least 5 runs in 8 of their last 9 games. I trust Philly to do some damage against an inexperienced pitcher in Butto.
The Phillies counter with Cristopher Sanchez, who like Butto doesn’t have a tremendous amount of Major League innings under his belt with 91.1, but he’s been a consistent rotation piece for the Phillies since mid-June, and I believe the gives him a significant edge. Since June 17, Sanchez has given the Phillies 16 starts while pitching to a 3.41 ERA and has given up 4 or more earned runs in just 2 of those outings. I’ve been pretty impressed with Sanchez, and his underlying metrics show why he’s been so effective. Sanchez hardly allows walks (4.1% walk rate) and induces a great deal of ground balls (57.5%). That should lead to continued success, and I expect him to put together another quality outing against a Mets’ team with nothing left to play for at this point of the season.
Check out our Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets prediction
San Francisco Giants ML over Los Angeles Dodgers (+188)
For my final pick, I’m heading to Los Angeles where the San Francisco Giants look to split their series with the Dodgers after falling in a 7-0 defeat yesterday. Right-hander Ryan Walker will serve as an opener for the Giants tonight, but it’s a familiar role for Walker who’s served as the opener in 12 other games this season. On the year, Walker is pitching to a 3.20 ERA across 56.1 innings, including 1.1 scoreless innings against the Dodgers. More importantly, Walker has been efficient in the opener role, posting a 2.33 ERA across 19.1 innings, while recording 30 strikeouts.
A bulk of the innings however will come from the arm of left-hander Alex Wood. Through 27 appearances and 92.0 innings, Wood owns a 4.60 ERA and 1.43 WHIP, but like Walker, he’s found success against the Dodgers. In 2 starts against Los Angeles, Wood has yet to surrender an earned run and has given up just 4 hits across 9.2 innings. The Giants won both of Wood’s starts and outscored the Dodgers 20-0. For the Dodgers, it’ll be Lance Lynn making his 31st start of the season, and 10th start since joining L.A. Lynn is pitching to a 5.92 ERA on the season and a 4.67 ERA with the Dodgers thus far. Lynn has also gotten torched by this Giants’ lineup, including an outing on April 6 in which he allowed 8 earned runs on 9 hits, 3 home runs, and 3 walks across just 4.1 innings. I like the matchup we have in the late game, and I’ll gladly add the Giants as the last leg of this parlay.
