Kyle Lupas
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Sunday offers plenty of excitement throughout the day as all 30 teams are in action. We start the day in Boston and close things out in New York with the Braves and Mets. With no shortage of games to choose from, I’ve narrowed down the slate and picked my 3 favorite bets for a +886 payout at FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s take a closer look at this parlay and be sure to read the entire article for my reasoning and analysis for each individual leg.
Also, be sure to check out our MLB predictions for every game.
Tigers ML (+110)
Astros -1.5 (+146)
Orioles ML (-110)
Parlay Odds: +886
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Detroit Tigers over Boston Red Sox (+110)
The Tigers are understandably underdogs here on the road, but I believe there’s some reason to back them. That reason comes down to the starting pitching matchup between Eduardo Rodriguez and Kutter Crawford. Rodriguez was one of the most sought-after starting pitchers at the trade deadline before he exercised his no-trade clause, preventing a move to the Dodgers. One look at Rodriquez’s statistics, and it’s no secret why he was desired by a long list of ballclubs. Over 17 starts, the former Red Sox pitcher boasts a career-best 2.75 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Rodriguez went 7.0-scoreless innings in his last outing, and the lefty has put together quality starts in 3 of his last 4 appearances.
Kutter Crawford takes the ball for Boston, and while he’s been a reliable arm, he’s not on the same level as Rodriguez. Crawford owns a 3.80 ERA in 22 appearances and 14 starts, but he doesn’t eat a ton of innings. Crawford has only gone a full 6.0 innings in 2 of his 14 starts, and the Red Sox bullpen has been a huge issue of late. Boston’s bullpen has a 6.62 ERA and 5.59 FIP in August, and the pen had to provide 4.1 innings of relief yesterday after a short outing from Brayan Bello. Advantage Detroit on the starting pitching front, as well as bullpen effectiveness.
Houston Astros -1.5 over Los Angeles Angels (+146)
The Houston Astros have made light work of the Angels in this series, beating them 11-3 on back-to-back nights. The offense is rolling, and Houston has put up at least 7 runs in 5 of their last 6 games, for an average of 8.3 runs per game. Chase Silseth takes the ball for the Angels in what will be his 13th appearance, but only 5th start of the season. Silseth worked out of the pen for most of the season but will make his 4th consecutive start since moving to the rotation in mid-July. Things have gone quite well for Silseth since making the move, and he’s gone at least 5.0 innings over those 3 starts while allowing just 4 earned runs. Silseth racked up 10 strikeouts against the Yankees and 12 strikeouts against the Mariners his last time out, but I believe he’ll have a much more difficult time with this Astros’ lineup.
For the Astros it will be Jose Urquidy taking the ball as he continues to work back from a right shoulder injury that kept him sidelined for over 3 months. Urquidy surrendered 5 earned runs on 3 hits and 3 walks in his return against the Yankees last week and fell apart in the 4th inning. A leadoff single and a pair of walks ultimately led to Urquidy getting yanked, but I’m expecting a stronger outing today. Urquidy has been a solid pitcher over his career, and he could afford to make a few more mistakes than Silseth given the production his lineup has provided of late. I’m willing to back Houston and their offense to separate themselves from the Angels in this game.
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Baltimore Orioles ML over Seattle Mariners (-110)
The Seattle Mariners saw their 8-game win streak come to an end last night and seemingly wasted a gem thrown by George Kirby. Kirby threw a complete game shutout and allowed just 3 hits before the Orioles pulled ahead in the 10th inning after a Ryan Mountcastle single to center field. The Orioles may have stolen a win last night, but I believe they’ll walk away with a convincing win this afternoon. Kyle Bradish has been Baltimore’s best pitcher all season and he’ll take the mound for his 22nd start today. Bradish owns a 3.19 ERA on the year and a 2.27 ERA over his last 7 starts. Against Seattle on June 25, Bradish completed 7.0 innings and allowed just 2 earned runs on 2 hits, 2 walks, and 7 strikeouts.
Bryce Miller of the Mariners has also gone up against the opposition earlier this season. On June 24, Miller surrendered 3 earned runs on 6 hits and 3 walks before being pulled in the 5th inning at 95 pitches. Miller has been shaky at times this season, and before he gave up just 1 earned run against the Angels in his last start, Miller had allowed a combined 12 earned runs on 15 hits in his 2 prior starts. Miller has most certainly had his bright spots, but he hasn’t been consistent enough to back when going up against Bradish. Give me the Orioles to take today’s game and win the series.
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