Caleb Wilfinger
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With a full slate of Major League Baseball taking place on Sunday, there’s plenty of value to be found across the board. I have looked through today’s MLB games and found 3 picks that combine for a +731 payout at FanDuel Sportsbook. We’ve already hit a pair of Same Game Parlays this week, can we add a mega parlay to that tally? Let’s find out!
Be sure to check out our MLB predictions for all of today’s games, but for now, let’s get into my MLB mega parlay for Sunday.
Dodgers ML (-112)
Twins -1.5 (+130)
Royals vs Yankees Over 9 (-110)
MLB parlay odds: +731
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Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-112) over Texas Rangers
To start off this mega parlay, I’m going with the Dodgers on the money line. While this series might not be a potential World Series preview, it does feel as if Los Angeles is gearing up for a strong stretch run to close the season. The Dodgers have won 10 of their last 12 games and have emerged from the All-Star break winning 3 consecutive series on the road. This team is far from perfect, but the quartet at the top of their lineup (Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, J.D. Martinez and Will Smith) is as good as it gets this season. Los Angeles as a team is seeing the ball very well of late, and they should feast on Martin Perez, who ranks inside the bottom 10 percentile in xBA, xERA, strikeout percentage and SLG.
Opposing Perez will be rookie Emmett Sheehan, who has regressed to the mean a bit in recent outings after a terrific start. However, given that Corey Seager appears likely to miss Sunday’s game with a thumb injury, that makes Sheehan’s job noticeably easier. After all, the right-hander still has outstanding stuff and should be able to put together 5 or 6 strong innings of work. This one should be a close game, but I trust the more experienced side to pull it out.
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Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+130) over Chicago White Sox
For the second leg of this mega parlay, I’m backing the Twins on the run line. Bailey Ober gets the ball for Minnesota, and that’s a good sign for the Twins. The right-hander has proven himself to be one of the most reliable pitchers in the American League this season, as he currently holds a 2.74 ERA this season while surrendering just 4 runs and 13 hits over his last 19 innings pitched. Ober should see more success against a White Sox team that has all but quit on their prospects of a worthwhile season at this point. Lucas Giolito will start for Chicago, and he’s struggled mightily on the road this season, including giving up 8 earned runs to the Mets in his last outing. I can’t see this White Sox team put up much of a fight at Target Field, so let’s back Minnesota at home.
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Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Over 9 (-110)
To close out our mega parlay, I’m going with the over in this AL matchup between the Royals and Yankees. While the Yankees and Royals lineups both leave much to be desired, this starting pitching matchup is too good to pass up. New York’s offense has been anemic in Aaron Judge’s absence, but this is still a great spot for New York at home against Jordan Lyles. Lyles is coming off a pair of his best starts of the season earlier this month, but his ERA still sits at 6.05 and his poor XLG, whiff rate and strikeout rate suggest that New York should be able to attack early and often in this one.
Luis Severino getting the ball for the Yankees should also help this one go over, as his xERA sits at 6.86, which is inside the bottom 2 percentile of all starters. He also sits in the bottom 3 percentile in xSLG and xBA, while residing in the bottom 10 percentile in hard hit percentage and barrel rate. New York hasn’t gotten consistent pitching from any of their non-Gerrit Cole starters this season and I wouldn’t expect that to start on Sunday.
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