Caleb Wilfinger
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The MLB season rolls on today with a full slate of games on the docket on Sunday as a number of teams play during the day, while we’ll see just one primetime game to round out the slate. With the entirety of the league in action on Sunday, there is plenty to attack and craft an MLB mega parlay.
Let’s dive into today’s MLB parlay picks, with games getting underway with the Twins taking on the Astros at 1:05 pm ET and concluding with Sunday Night Baseball between St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies at 7:10 pm ET on ESPN.
You can also check out all of our MLB picks for today’s action.
Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
Cardinals vs Phillies over 9.5 (+102)
Mariners -1.5 (+110)
MLB parlay odds: +770
For this MLB parlay I am going with a bet on the Dodgers and Mariners to win by multiple runs, plus the game to go over the total in Philadelphia. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks (-130)
To start off our MLB parlay I’m going with the Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line on Sunday. Los Angeles has been inconsistent over the last couple of weeks, dropping some games to inferior competition and struggling to generate runs on more than one occasion. However, this is a lopsided looking pitching matchup on paper, one that the Dodgers should take full advantage of. He’s not a household name, but Gavin Stone has been quietly brilliant for Los Angeles this season. Stone’s sparkling track record includes 6 consecutive starts of at least 6 innings pitched, while allowing a total of 8 runs over those 6 outings. He certainly should hold an edge over Rockies starter Austin Gomber (4.13 xERA), whose underlying advanced metrics suggest that major regression is coming. A home game against Gomber and the Rockies bullpen could be exactly what the Dodgers offense needs to secure a series victory in this one.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies over 9.5 (+102)
For the second leg in our MLB parlay I’m going with the over in this Sunday Night Baseball matchup between the Cardinals and Phillies. Much like any baseball bettor, I am always up for fading Lance Lynn, and while Lynn has looked rock solid in his last couple outings, I fully expect the red-hot Phillies offense to break that recent trend. Lynn’s underlying metrics are not good, and the Philadelphia bats should feast, especially the ever-dangerous lefties littered throughout the order. On the other side, Taijuan Walker is a veteran arm who is all but washed up at this stage of his career. Yes he can eat some innings, but he just isn’t great, and the metrics agree (6.17 xERA, .544 xSLG). The Cardinals should have enough punch in their lineup to punish Walker for his low strikeout rate and hard contact rates. At plus money it’s hard to turn down this over at Citizens Bank Ballpark.
Seattle Mariners -1.5 over Los Angeles Angels (+110)
To close out this MLB parlay I have the Seattle Mariners on the run line. The Mariners’ offense has been a frustrating endeavor to watch this season, but one thing that Seattle does extremely well is pitch and it holds a significant advantage in that department on Sunday. Luis Castillo has picked up right where he left off a season ago, allowing just 2 earned runs or less in a whopping 9 consecutive starts to this point. It helps that he’ll be at home and facing an Angels lineup that is very poor and showing no signs of improvement. On the other side, Griffin Canning will get the ball for the Halos and his concerning underlying metrics (5.15 xERA, bottom 5% exit velocity) match up with the eye test. I don’t expect Canning to go more than 4 or 5 innings, so Seattle has clear value on the run line.
