Ricky Dimon
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We have a full 15-game slate on Saturday to continue the weekend in Major League Baseball. It includes a duo of nationally televised showdowns on FS1, starting with this one between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. Here is our same game parlay for this American League East rivalry contest, and be sure to also check out our full game preview for picks on the side and total.
Boston Red Sox ML (+165)
Xander Bogaerts to hit a home run (+430)
Nathan Eovaldi Under 6.5 strikeouts (-142)
Parlay odds: +1074
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Xander Bogaerts going deep would obviously go well with a Boston win. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case here with taking the under on Nathan Eovaldi’s strikeout quota. But even if Eovaldi is not mowing down opposing batters left and right, there is no reason why the Red Sox can’t take care of business.
Boston Red Sox ML (+165)
The Yankees need some help before the trade deadline, and they need it in a number of different areas. Obviously it won’t come in time for this showdown against the Red Sox, who are leading the division by one game over the Tampa Bay Rays while being three clear of New York. The Yankees are a disastrous 2-9 against Boston this season following Friday’s 6-2 loss. Additional good news for the Sox is that Nathan Eovaldi is taking the mound on Saturday and he has been their best starter in 2021 by far.
Xander Bogaerts to hit a home run (+430)
Bogaerts homered in each of the last two games prior to the all-star break and he has also hit safely in two straight contests. It seems like he is due to go deep again. There should be no concern that he is facing a right-hander, because Bogaerts is hitting .307 against righties this season and his home-run rate is basically identical against RHPs and LHPs. Although the 28-year-old has never homered off Taillon, he is 3-for-9 with three doubles in the head-to-head matchup. Bogaerts clearly has confidence when Taillon is on the mound, so a dinger may only be a matter of time.
Nathan Eovaldi Under 6.5 strikeouts (-142)
Although Eovaldi can get hot at times when it comes to the strikeout department, 6.5 is simply too big a number for someone who has fewer strikeouts (106) than innings pitched (108.1) in 2021. The Yankees’ lineup is a bit depleted at the moment, but that doesn’t necessarily bode well for Eovaldi’s Ks. A couple of guys who are sidelined are bigtime strikeout candidates.
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