We have made it to the weekend of Major League Baseball. With so many games on, I’ve crafted a 3-team MLB mega parlay that pays out at over 11/1 odds with DraftKings Sportsbook. I’m looking for revenge with this parlay since my last mega parlay was ruined by the last leg, so let’s get into it!
Below is my mega parlay, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks in addition to my YRFI/NRFI best bets.
Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
Rangers -1.5 (+155)
Diamondbacks ML (+115)
Parlay odds: +1188
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Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) over Boston Red Sox
It’s a mess in Boston right now. We’re still a few weeks away from the trade deadline, but talks about selling their veteran players have already begun. To be fair, it makes sense. The Red Sox have a stacked division ahead of them with nearly no chance to pass the Rays or Orioles, and it’s seeming harder and harder to leapfrog the Yankees or Blue Jays. That leaves them in the basement of the division, so I can’t stress the importance of this weekend’s series enough. Boston had James Paxton on the hill on Friday night, so that means it is Kutter Crawford’s turn in the rotation on Saturday. Since moving into the starting rotation in June, Crawford has a 4.71 ERA paired with a 1.33 WHIP in 5 starts.
If the Blue Jays wanted to make another postseason run in 2023, they needed to get more out of Yusei Kikuchi. The lefty was terrible last season with a 5.18 ERA in 32 games which forced him out of the starting rotation and into the bullpen in the second half of the year. However, Kikuchi has been better this season with a 3.75 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 16 starts. In 5 starts this month, the southpaw is 1-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. He’s also been much better at home (3.13 ERA) than on the road (4.24 ERA), so he is lucky enough to make start #17 in Toronto. With all things considered, I’m going to keep fading the Sox until they show some signs of life on offense.
Texas Rangers -1.5 (+155) over Houston Astros
The American League all-star starters were announced on Thursday and it included 3 Texas infielders. That’s absolutely crazy to think about, but Marcus Semien, Corey Seager and Josh Jung will be starting in the infield for the American League in Seattle on June 11. But it hasn’t just been their offense that has made them one of the best teams in baseball – it’s also been their pitching. Even without possibly the greatest pitcher of this generation, Jacob deGrom, the Rangers have found a way to have success on the mound. That includes offseason acquisition Nathan Eovaldi, who has a 2.82 ERA paired with a 3.34 xERA in 16 starts. The right-hander has lowered his barrel and hard-hit rate, increased his strikeout rate and refined his splitter to be a devastating put-away pitch. All in all, Eovaldi has been an ace.
The Astros have a good one in Hunter Brown. They lost Justin Verlander to the money — I mean the Mets — and replaced the reigning AL Cy Young winner with Brown. The 24-year-old has a 3.62 ERA and a 3.54 xERA in 15 outings for Houston, and for the most part, he’s been great. However, Saturday’s matchup will be a tough one for Brown. That’s because the Rangers rank in the top 10 against fastballs and curveballs this season – 70% of Brown’s pitches. The rookie has a bright future, but Texas has a 166 wRC+ at home in June. With Eovaldi on the hill and the Rangers’ home-field advantage, I like their chances for a multi-run win on Saturday.
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Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+115) over Los Angeles Angels
If you haven’t already, it’s time to put some respect into the Arizona Diamondbacks. We’re nearing the all-star break, and the Snakes still lead the NL West by a few games. Heading into the season, it seemed hard to imagine that the Diamondbacks would be able to surpass the superstar-loaded lineups of the Dodgers and Padres. But as we’ve seen with numerous teams this year (I’m looking at you Mets and Yankees), money doesn’t always buy good baseball teams. Back to this series, Arizona will send out the young right-hander Ryne Nelson to take on the lefty Tyler Anderson. Through 16 starts, Nelson has been mediocre with a 4.97 ERA in 83.1 innings. His advanced metrics aren’t the best and his slim strikeout rate can get him into trouble sometimes, but he’s fortunate to be backed by a red-hot Diamondbacks offense.
Before Friday night’s game, the Diamondbacks had a 113 wRC+ in June. That’s the 6th-best rate in baseball during that span, and a lot of the success can be attributed to newly-appointed All-Star Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte. But it hasn’t been just those two hitters that have produced from the Arizona lineup. Geraldo Perdomo, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Christian Walker and more have been exceptional in June. On Saturday night the Snakes will face Tyler Anderson, a savvy veteran who just hasn’t found his rhythm this year. A 5.54 ERA and .265 xBA are some of the worst marks the southpaw has had in recent years. At plus odds, it’s hard not to like the Diamondbacks.
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