Here at Pickswise, we provide MLB coverage with YRFI/NRFI picks, player props, mega parlays and so much more. And now, we’re diving into the Same Game Parlay market! This SGP focuses on the Padres vs Yankees game in the Bronx, and 3 winning legs would give us a +502 payout. Before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our MLB picks on the side and total for every game today. But for now, let’s get into my Padres vs Yankees Same Game Parlay.
Padres ML (-120)
Juan Soto to record a run (-135)
Aaron Judge 2+ bases (-110)
Padres vs Yankees Same Game Parlay odds: +502
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San Diego Padres ML (-120) over New York Yankees
The New York rotation has become even thinner with Domingo German suspended for the illegal use of a foreign substance in his last outing. That opened the door for Randy Vasquez to make his MLB debut on Friday night during German’s spot in the rotation. Right off the bat, I don’t like this for the Yankees. I prefer to fade pitchers making their MLB debut because nerves and adrenaline are high, and that can lead to mistakes. And the problem for Vasquez is that the top of the San Diego lineup is dangerous, and mistakes turn into runs.
The 6’0″ right-hander from the Dominican Republic has very limited experience at high-level baseball because he’s made only 9 Triple-A starts in his career. It’s not like he’s been overly impressive in those outings either considering he is 1-5 with a 4.85 ERA. Vasquez has decent stuff but can lack control at times, and that has resulted in allowing at least 3 walks in 4 of his 9 Triple-A starts this season. That could be a problem against a Padres lineup that has the 2nd-most walks in baseball this season, and the main culprit behind that is Juan Soto.
Check out our San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees predictions
Juan Soto to record a run (-135)
Billy Beane would love Juan Soto. Why? Because he gets on base. The lefty hitter has a .262 batting average but a .423 on-base percentage, and that’s because he has incredible discipline at the plate. For example, Soto reached base safely all 5 times in Thursday night’s game, and only once was from a base hit. The other 4 times came from walks, which is something Soto is known for. Soto leads baseball with a 21.8% walk rate which is truly absurd when you think about it. But drawing walks isn’t everything for Soto because he’s also an elite hitter that has caught fire recently since he’s hitting .367 in the last 15 days.
That combination of above-average hitting and elite plate discipline allows Soto to get on base constantly, and with Xander Bogaerts and Matt Carpenter behind him, he has a great chance to cross home. He’s recorded a run in 5 straight games, and against a rookie pitcher that struggles with control, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him draw several walks and turn it into a run on the scoreboard.
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Aaron Judge 2+ total bases (-110)
The Captain is red-hot. Since coming off the injured list on May 9, Aaron Judge is hitting .333 with a .833 slugging percentage and an incredible 244 wRC+. He had a rough time against the Baltimore pitchers during this week’s series, but he gets a great opportunity to bounce back against the right-hander Joe Musgrove tonight. It’s important to note that Musgrove is a righty because Judge crushes right-handers for a .314 batting average but struggles mightily against lefties with just a .179 average. But back to Musgrove — the 30-year-old has had a rough start to his season.
He’s made only 5 starts because he was sidelined with an injury at the beginning of the season, but in those 5 outings, he has a 6.75 ERA with a 1.58 WHIP. In his 2 starts on the road, which came at Chase Field and Dodger Stadium, Musgrove allowed hitters to have a .333 batting average with a .921 OPS. Now at the hitter-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium, the balls should be flying against Musgrove. Judge can cash this leg of the parlay with one hit to the gap, or he can put it into the seats for emphasis.
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