Mark Lammey
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After a full day of baseball, it’s only fitting to cap it off with this NL West rivalry on national TV. That’s even more true now that the Padres have created another super team down in SoCal at the trade deadline. After acquiring Juan Soto and Josh Bell from the Nationals, among other moves, San Diego is now the 5th-betting favorite to win the World Series. However, the Dodgers remain the odds-on favorite and still have the best record in baseball. With such a star-studded matchup, there are more than enough markets to target to end the night with profit. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our thoughts on the side and total for all of today’s games.
Padres -1.5 (+175)
Over 0.5 1st inning runs (-115)
Parlay odds: +400
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+175) over Los Angeles Dodgers
There haven’t been this many superstars on the field at the same time since the All-Star Game. The Dodgers have been an embarrassment of riches with multiple MVP candidates and the league’s best pitching staff throughout the year. While the Padres have had all-star Manny Machado, they’ve been missing Fernando Tatis Jr. all season. He has recently been set to begin rehab assignments, as San Diego looks forward to him joining Soto, Bell and Brandon Drury. All of that is without mentioning their acquisition of the league’s best closer, Josh Hader, from the Brewers. That’s exactly what the Padres needed, as their starting rotation is one of the best in the National League.
Their rotation has been led by Joe Musgrove, but Yu Darvish would be the ace of many other teams. He’ll be going for his 11th win, something only 8 other pitchers can say. He lost his most recent start to the Dodgers, but had a much better performance in the start prior to that. Darvish held the Dodgers scoreless and allowed just a single hit in 6.0 innings. There’s no doubt LA starter Tyler Anderson’s 12-1 record is intimidating, but he did not pitch as well in his first start against the Padres as he was pulled after just 4.2 innings in a loss. Now that he’s facing a lineup just as deep as his own, this is a far more different matchup than his last win against San Diego. Now that they can produce more run support for Darvish, the Padres can end the day with an upset.
Over 0.5 1st inning runs (-115)
This play may seem surprising given the established starters on the mound. However, there are simply too many talented hitters with advantageous matchups. First up are the aforementioned multiple NL MVP candidates of the Dodgers. All 3 of them are the top 3 hitters on the lineup, which has the Dodgers tied for highest-scoring team in the 1st inning. They’re even better at home, and Freddie Freeman and Trea Turner have been solid against Darvish. They have a .813 and .786 slugging percentage, respectively, against the Padres starter. Those stats were increased when they helped produce 3 runs in the 1st inning against Darvish the last time he pitched against them.
While that may sound like bad news for the Padres overall, keep in mind how much their team has changed. They now have Soto guaranteed to hit in the 1st inning, and Machado batting behind him means pitchers can no longer pitch around him nearly as easily. That’s not to ignore the less well-known leadoff man, Jurickson Profar. He has 97 hits on the year, and all 3 of those guys recorded a hit last night. That also increases the chance of cleanup hitter Josh Bell seeing the plate in the 1st inning. Regardless of which team produces, if not both, there should be some early action in tonight’s game.
Don’t miss our YRFI/NRFI best bets for today – we went 2-0 yesterday!
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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