Mark Lammey
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The Dodgers got off to a 1-0 series lead last night and wasted no time in doing so. They put up 2 quick runs on Padres starter Mike Clevinger and never looked back. We get only 2 playoff games today, but that includes this NL West rivalry. LA has owned San Diego so far this season and will have future Hall-of-Famer Clayton Kershaw on the mound. Let’s dive in and make Game 2 a profitable one. Along with this Same Game Parlay, be sure to check out our MLB analysis for all of the upcoming postseason games.
Dodgers ML (-175)
Over 6.5 total runs (-165)
Freddie Freeman 2+ total bases (+120)
Parlay odds: +330
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-175) over San Diego Padres
After last night’s victory, the Dodgers are now 15-5 against the Padres this season. Better yet, 14 of those 15 victories have been by multiple runs. Our experts correctly predicted both the run line and total last night, and we only need them to win the game tonight. Many expected Clayton Kershaw to open up the series, but he’ll instead be on the mound today. That simply speaks to the embarrassment of riches on this Dodgers roster.
Not only has LA owned San Diego this season, Kershaw has owned them throughout his career. He’s 23-9 against them with an incredible 2.03 ERA and 310 strikeouts in 45 appearances. To break that down even further, just 3 of those losses have come after 2013. That’s nearly 10 years of almost never losing to a single opponent, and that should continue tonight. The only reason we didn’t hit last night’s Same Game Parlay was missing our Mookie Betts hitting prop. However, that also demonstrates how the Dodgers are able to win convincingly even when every superstar doesn’t perform. When they do, expect an even larger margin of victory at home in Dodgers Stadium.
Be sure to check out our San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
Over 6.5 total runs (-165)
In addition to going back to the well in terms of another Dodgers win, we’re doing the same in terms of the total. There were 8 runs scored last night, and that was mild in comparison to some of the Dodgers’ dominant wins over the Padres this season. Eight of those 15 wins have ended with game totals between 9 and 13 runs.
That shouldn’t be too surprising given how well LA was able to produce against every team this season. They were the only team in the NL to surpass 800 runs scored, and the Padres are no stranger to that. Also keep in mind that San Diego is the only team that was pushed to 3 games in the Wild Card round and the Padres’ bullpen was done no favors by Clevinger last night. He was pulled after just 2.2 innings, which had San Diego using 4 different relievers for at least a full inning. Kershaw’s first win over the Padres was a 10-2 victory and likely his last win over them this season should end the same way.
Freddie Freeman 2+ total bases (+120)
This is where our SGP fell just short last night as Mookie Betts was unable to come through. However, that’s rare for him and we also like a bounce-back night from him. We’ll still switch things up just a bit to another incredible slugger who needs to bounce back. Freddie Freeman also failed to contribute last night, which should almost never be expected.
Freeman finished the year with the most hits in the MLB with 199. If that doesn’t sound good enough, he also had the most doubles in the league with 47. With the ability to hit this prop with either multiple hits or a single swing, Freeman provides great value. Along with 21 homers, he racked up 313 totals, which was the 3rd-most in the NL. He’s hitting .313 with 1 double and 2 homers against Padres starter Yu Darvish, so expect a bounce-back night from both Betts and Freeman tonight.
Also check out our YRFI/NRFI best bet for today!
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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