Ricky Dimon
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The Houston Astros will be looking to wrap up their American League Division Series against the Chicago White Sox when Game 3 takes place on Sunday night in Chicago. Let’s take a look at the best same game parlay option for Astros-White Sox, and be sure to also check out our full game preview for picks on the side and total.
Chicago White Sox -2.5 (+250)
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 strikeouts (-148)
Luis Robert to record an RBI (+145)
Parlay odds: +1178
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Dylan Cease striking out his fair share of batters and Luis Robert recording at least one RBI would obviously go well with a Chicago win. Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.
Chicago White Sox -2.5 (+250)
Cease (13-7, 3.91 ERA, 3.72 xFIP) gets the ball for the White Sox opposite Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.30 ERA, 3.93 xFIP) in Game 3. Cease has the ability to limit Houston’s offensive output as he makes his third start of 2021 against the Astros. He has yet to record a win against the Astros but has pitched to a respectable .219 xBA and 14-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 8.3 innings of work. If Cease can provide his team with 5+ quality innings (which he should), it should position itself favorably to secure the home victory. Garcia’s lone start against the White Sox on June 18 looks impressive on the surface as he limited the Sox to just 1 run over 7.0 innings of work. A bit deeper dive into that start reveals he was a bit fortunate. Garica surrendered 7 hits over those 7.0 frames but did a superb job of stranding baserunners with an 88.9 percent strand rate. Look for the Sox offense to put it all together on Sunday and power its way to a big, much-needed win.
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 strikeouts (-148)
I’m not sure how the number is this low. Yes the juice on it is -148, but that certainly isn’t bad at all given that the total is 4.5. Cease will likely fly over it. The right-hander recorded 226 strikeouts in 165.2 innings during the regular season and in two start against Houston he fanned 14 guys in 9.0 innings. It stands to reason that Cease can be expected to reach the 5-strikeout mark in no more than 4.0 innings on Sunday. And he will probably go a lot longer than that, so this mark should be shattered.
Luis Robert to record an RBI (+145)
Robert has a good chance of driving in at least one run—and we will need him to do so in order for Chicago to win by at least three runs. As such, this is a no-risk play. Robert is an awesome 5-for-7 so far this series and he had 1 RBI on Friday. Hitting in front of him, Tim Anderson 4-for-9 through two contests. It goes without saying that Anderson being on base would help out Robert’s chances tenfold.
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