Kyle Lupas
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Don’t like sitting around for the entirety of a baseball game only for a bet to cash? Well then, the YRFI/NRFI market may be your new favorite betting strategy. Just reserve about 10 or 15 minutes to watch the first inning! Thursday provides us with a 10-game slate and plenty of betting. So, let’s get right into it, and don’t forget to check out our MLB picks on the side and total for every game today plus our MLB mega parlay and today’s top player props.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles: YRFI (-125)
The Blue Jays and Orioles finish their series tonight with a rubber match after Baltimore bounced back with 7-0 victory last night. While the Blue Jays were shut out last night, I’m leaning on the side of early runs in tonight’s contest. Kyle Gibson takes the ball for the Orioles, and while he’s been a reliable option, he’s had some rough outings along the way. Gibson owns a 4.97 ERA across 26 starts, but registered a 8.31 ERA through 3 starts in August with a 1.62 WHIP. Over his last 2 outings alone, Gibson surrendered 21 hits, 13 earned runs and 3 home runs in 10.1 innings. With those recent struggles, I’m backing Toronto to do some early damage.
Jose Berrios makes the start for Toronto tonight and is having himself a career year. Berrios owns a career-best 3.39 ERA across 25 starts, but his 4.51 xERA suggests some regression. He’s also running into one of the best teams in baseball who have scored 38 runs over their last 5 games. It also just so happens that most of their production in that time frame has come from the top of their lineup. Anthony Santander, Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman are hitting a combined .404 over their last 5 games with 10 RBIs and 10 extra-base hits. If the top of this lineup remains hot, it could bring on some early trouble for Berrios. I’m backing runs in the first inning tonight.
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Oakland Athletics vs Chicago White Sox: NRFI (+110)
The A’s and White Sox might not be the most thrilling game of the day, but I see some value with a scoreless first inning at plus-money. On the season, the White Sox rank 25th in runs scored while the A’s are dead last. There hasn’t been much improvement in August as the White Sox rank 24th in runs scored and the A’s are 29th. The White Sox also haven’t been getting a tremendous amount of production from the top of their lineup. Luis Robert Jr. is 1 for his last 15 at-bats and Tim Anderson is hitting .200 in August and has only 1 home run on the season.
Similarly, the A’s have struggled at the plate and are hitting .219 as a team in August. They don’t have a single qualified player hitting over .245 on the season and the projected top 3 batters tonight have a combined 139 MLB games played in their careers. Aside from Zack Gelof, who is hitting .295 with 20 extra-base hits in 34 games, Ryan Noda and Lawrence Butler have underwhelmed. Those two rookies are hitting a combined .233 with 31 extra-base hits while having 186 more at-bats than Gelof. I don’t have a tremendous amount of confidence with the A’s lineup right now and I think a scoreless first inning is worth the play at its current price.
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