Ricky Dimon
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A 10-game Major League Baseball schedule is on the docket for Thursday. With a whole bunch of teams wrapping up series and then going on the road to begin new ones starting on Friday, 9 of today’s 10 games are taking place in the afternoon. You won’t have to wait long to find out how your bets fare today.
Speaking of not waiting long, the YRFI/NRFI market has become extremely popular in baseball betting. After all, you don’t have to sit around for 3 hours (or maybe a lot less now that games are not as long on average!) to see if your wager hits; the satisfaction (or in some cases disappointment) is immediate. It all comes down to the first inning.
Here are my best YRFI/NRFI bets for Thursday, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies: YRFI (-162)
You always have to like the YRFI a little bit more in Rockies home games than you do in other situations simply because of the fact that it’s Colorado we are talking about. Thursday’s matchup should be especially conducive to a first-inning run, as well. The Rockies are going with a bullpen day that will be kicked off by Connor Seabold. He is saddled with a 5.27 ERA through 7 appearances and just gave up 2 runs on 5 hits in 3.1 innings of work against the Angels this past Saturday.
Milwaukee is countering with Wade Miley, who is off to a strong start in 2023 but has had a tough time with the top of Colorado’s order. Charlie Blackmon is hitting .304 against him, Kris Bryant is 9-for-20 (.450) and Elias Diaz is 6-for-14 (.429). Combine those guys with the fact that the Rockies’ have given up tied for the third-most runs in Major League Baseball, and you should feel good about the YRFI’s chances on Thursday.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox: YRFI (-115)
Toronto right-hander Kevin Gausman has been in impressive form over his past 2 starts, but he isn’t that far removed from giving up a ridiculous 7 first-inning runs to Houston on April 17. Gausman also has a tough matchup on his hands in the form of the Red Sox. Justin Turner is 6-for-19 lifetime against the veteran with 2 home runs and 2 doubles. Rob Refsnyder is 5-for-16 with a double. They should be able to set the tone early at the top of Boston’s lineup.
Of course, the Blue Jays may have already plated a run by the time the Red Sox come to bat in the bottom of the opening frame. Brayan Bello is taking the mound for Boston and he is 0-1 with a 6.57 ERA. In his first start of the season, the 23-year-old surrendered 4 first-inning runs to the Angels. Bello started against the Blue Jays 3 times as a rookie in 2022 and went 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA and .410 opponents’ batting average. George Springer is 6-for-9 in his career against the righty, Bo Bichette is 3-for-7 and Vladimir Guerrero is 3-for-8. All of that spells trouble for Bello.
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