Ricky Dimon
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The Major League Baseball week continues with a full 16-game slate on Saturday. Yes, 16 instead of 15 because the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox are playing a double-header. There are all kinds of options as we try to come up with some successful YRFI/NRFI bets.
This market has become extremely popular in baseball betting. After all, you don’t have to sit around for 3 hours (or maybe a lot less now that games are not as long on average!) to see if your wager hits; the satisfaction (or in some cases disappointment) is immediate. It all comes down to the first inning.
Here are my best YRFI/NRFI bets for Saturday, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks.
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Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros: YRFI (-111)
It goes without saying that the Angels boast an extremely dangerous lineup at the top, led by Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout. It wouldn’t come as any surprise if they plate at least 1 run right away against Astros starter Cristian Javier. Trout has never done anything against Javier, but Ohtani has taken him deep twice. Javier has been pitching well on the whole, but he is prone to being victimized by 1 swing of the bat. The right-hander has served up at least 1 home run in a ridiculous 4 straight games and in 8 of his last 9.
Meanwhile, the Astros scored 2 first-inning runs on Friday and I expect them to take advantage of Patrick Sandoval early and often in Saturday’s contest. Yordan Alvaraz is 4-for-14 lifetime in the matchup with 2 homers and a double; Alex Bregman is 5-for-11 with a homer, a triple and a double. Two starts ago, Sandoval allowed 3 runs in the opening frame to the Minnesota Twins.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets: NRFI (-115)
The Mets are infamously bad at producing early runs. In fact, they rank dead last in the league in that department so far this season. New York didn’t score a single run in any inning of yesterday’s 3-0 loss to Toronto. Now, the home team faces Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios, who has surrendered a first-inning run only once in his last 5 outings. Berrios has delivered 3 consecutive quality starts, compiled a 3.19 ERA in the month of May and over his past 2 appearances has given up just 1 run in 12.2 innings
New York is countering with Tylor Megill. The right-hander hasn’t been on fire of late, but he has at least made 2 straight starts without allowing a first-inning run. Brandon Belt is 3-for-7 lifetime against Megill, but nobody else in Toronto’s lineup has done anything notable at his expense.
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