Kyle Lupas
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If you don’t like sitting around for an entire baseball game waiting for your bet to cash, the YRFI/NRFI market may be for you. Just reserve about 10 to 15 minutes to watch the first inning and forget about the others. After an exciting weekend of baseball, Monday offers a limited slate of just 4 games.
I’m going to focus on just one game today, but it’s a matchup that immediately caught my attention. So, let’s get right into it, and don’t forget to check out our MLB picks on the side and total for every game today.
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants: NRFI (-145)
The game that instantly caught my attention from today’s slate is in San Francisco between the San Diego Padres and the Giants. At -145 odds, you’re going to have some extra juice on this bet, but it should be well worth it. Blake Snell of the Padres is set to win his second Cy Young Award at the conclusion of the season, and he’s been truly remarkable down the stretch. Over 31 starts, Snell owns a 2.33 ERA and has yet to surrender a run to the Giants this season across 12.0 innings.
What’s even more remarkable is how efficient Snell has been since the end of May. Over his last 124.0 innings spanning 21 starts, Snell has given up just 17 earned runs. The Giants have plated only 2 runs in their last 2 games, so this certainly is not a get-right spot for San Fran.
Taking the ball for the Giants will be right-hander Logan Webb, and while he’s not putting up Snell-type numbers, he has been effective in his own regard. Through 32 starts, Webb is pitching to a 3.35 ERA and a solid 2.36 ERA across 4 starts in September. Surprisingly, tonight will be the first time this season that Webb has pitched against the Padres, giving him an edge against a tough lineup.
I like Webb in this spot given his history of limiting home runs. Throughout his career, Webb has given up 49 home runs across 641.2 innings (0.7 home runs per 9 innings), and although this season is a little inflated, it’s still well above average. To put it into perspective, taking all pitchers with a minimum of 1,000 innings pitched, the leader in home runs per 9 innings is Clayton Kershaw at 0.745. Any time you’re beating out Kershaw it’s a good sign, and I like Webb to make it through the first inning unscathed.
Check out today’s MLB mega parlay
