Andrew Ortenberg
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The MLB season is officially in full swing, and it’s that special time of year when every team’s dreams are still alive. We’ve got a nice slate on Saturday, and one of the best games is this AL clash between the Texas Rangers and Chicago White Sox. The Rangers enter at 9-11, while the White Sox sit at 10-9.
What better way to celebrate this nationally televised (FS1) showdown than by betting a same game parlay? We’ve also got thoughts on the side and total, which you can find out in our full game preview.
Texas Rangers -2.5 (+370)
Jose Abreu to record 2+ hits (+200)
Dallas Keuchel under 4.5 strikeouts (-128)
Parlay odds: +2781
We’ve got a three-leg parlay here, one which pays out north of 25/1 with FanDuel Sportsbook. We get a huge odds boost by combining a big Rangers win with a big game from Abreu, when I don’t think it conflicts at all. Let me explain:
Texas Rangers -2.5 (+370)
The Rangers have been a bit of a pleasant surprise so far for hanging around .500. They were originally expected to be one of the worst teams in the league. The White Sox on the other hand were expected to be one of the best teams in the league, but are also hovering around .500. The market is still overestimating Chicago and underrating Texas.
Rangers starter Kyle Gibson has been phenomenal recently, and has lowered his ERA to 2.53 despite giving up five runs in less than an inning in his first start. That’s because in his last three outings, he’s given up only one run across 21 innings. He’s coming off a start where he tossed eight innings of shutout ball. This Rangers lineup hasn’t been as bad as expected, and they’ve scored at least six runs in three of their past four. As such, I think they’ve got the kind of offensive upside needed to cover this alt run line. Especially against a struggling Keuchel.
Jose Abreu to record 2+ hits (+200)
We get a big odds boost by combining these plays, when I don’t really think they conflict. Abreu got off to a very slow start, but it was only a matter of time until he turned things around. He started to turn a corner two games ago, when he went off for three hits and two home runs. In his previous two-hit game the White Sox still lost 7-4 to Boston. As such, I don’t think the correlation is too strong between him doing well and Chicago winning. He has a career .932 OPS against Gibson, so I think he’ll have some success here.
Dallas Keuchel under 4.5 strikeouts (-128)
This play on the other hand correlates very strongly with the Rangers winning by three or more. For Texas to win big, they’ll need to chase Keuchel early. He’s been having a very down year overall, entering with a 5.68 ERA through four starts. He hasn’t gone deeper than five innings in any of those games, and the White Sox aren’t letting his pitch count get very high. As such, I don’t see him having time to rack up five strikeouts. He hasn’t topped four yet this season, and has only three in his last ten innings.
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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