Mark Lammey
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No matter which game, or even which sport you watched yesterday, there were shocks and surprises across the board. The Astros vs Mariners went 18 innings before a single run was scored. NL favorites, the Braves and Dodgers, were both eliminated. The Yankees lost their first ever postseason game after entering the 9th inning with a lead. Even Alabama went down in college football. No matter where you turned, there was thrilling action. With that in mind, let’s try to pinpoint how this last divisional round game should play out. Along with this Same Game Parlay, be sure to check out our MLB analysis for all of the upcoming postseason games.
Yankees -1.5 (+104)
Anthony Rizzo 2+ total bases (+120)
Josh Donaldson to record a hit (-155)
Parlay odds: +447
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
New York Yankees -1.5 (+104) over Cleveland Guardians
The statistic has been floating around, but it bears repeating. The Yankees were 167-0 in the postseason when entering the 9th inning with a lead prior to last night. That stat was ruined when manager Aaron Boone decided to use set-up man Clarke Schmidt as the closer. Due to that move and eventual collapse, New York is now on the brink of elimination. That would put 3 of the 4 favorites in the divisional round back at home on the couch.
However, the Bronx Bombers can even up this series and force a winner-take-all Game 5. They’ll have ace Gerrit Cole back on the mound and he was stellar in Game 1. After giving up just a solo home run, he settled in and allowed just 4 hits and struck out 8 in 6.1 innings. With Game 2 being postponed due to bad weather, he’s now back on sufficient rest and ready to go today. Guardians starter Cal Quantrill was on the mound opposite Cole in Game 1 and got the loss after allowing 3 runs in his 5.0 innings. With Aaron Judge’s bat waking up last night with a 2-run homer, it’s likely Quantrill gives up even more to the Yanks as they take this game convincingly.
Anthony Rizzo 2+ total bases (+120)
Although it was Judge who homered last night, Anthony Rizzo got off to the hotter start to the series. He hit a home run off Quantrill back in Game 1 to help secure the Yankees’ win while also covering the run line. Judge’s MVP-caliber season has overshadowed many, including Rizzo. His 32 home runs were tied for the 6th-most in the AL, and he played in just 130 games. He also racked up 223 bases in that time and secured a .480 slugging percentage. Even if he doesn’t get to Quantrill early, Rizzo has still hit the Guardians well overall. He’s hitting .300 against them with a .650 slugging percentage, so expect him to help lead the Yankees to a Game 4 win.
Josh Donaldson to record a hit (-155)
Another hitter who should help the Bronx Bombers even up this series is Josh Donaldson. We only need him to put one in play, and he’s more than capable of also hitting his total bases prop. He has just 2 at-bats against Quantrill, but his hit was a home run. Better yet, Donaldson also went 2-for-2 in the Yankees’ Game 1 win. This prop is listed at nearly -200 at some sportsbooks, so this price at FanDuel has great value. There have been quite a few relief arms used in this series, so Donaldson can repeat his success against Quantrill or record his hit later on.
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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