Mark Lammey
Show Bio
The Mets and Brewers didn’t waste any time getting their midweek series started. After hosting the other New York team — the Yankees — the Brewers welcomed in a Max Scherzer-led Mets team. Milwaukee opened up with an ace of their own in Corbin Burnes. Every game is essentially a must-win for the Brewers at this point, as they’re fighting for one of the final NL wildcard spots. With the Mets still trying to keep the Braves at bay in the NL East, let’s break down the best way to attack this great matchup. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our MLB picks for all of today’s games.
Mets ML (-115)
Jeff McNeil 2+ total bases (+150)
Mark Canha to record a hit (-220)
Parlay odds: +400
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
New York Mets ML (-115) over Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers originally had Corbin Burnes scheduled to start this game. However, their injury situation forced them to bump him up in the rotation. It’s also why the Mets have a great chance to maintain their lead over the Braves in the division. Milwaukee has starters Freddy Peralta and Eric Lauer both on the injured list. With no other usual starter with sufficient rest, they’re forced to start lefty Aaron Ashby. He too was just on the injured list and was pushed out of the rotation when Peralta got healthy. The 2nd-year starter hasn’t pitched in over a month and still has a terrible 2-10 record. He also already lost to the Mets earlier this season in a start that lasted just 4.1 innings.
While the Mets won’t have an ace on the mound either, Carlos Carrasco has been having a great season. His 15 wins are tied for the 4th-most in the league, all while facing competition like the Braves 3 times and the AL-best Astros in back-to-back starts. He wasn’t on the mound the last time these teams met, but the Mets took 2 of those 3 games. Since then, the Brewers have not been nearly as consistent. Not only did they lose the NL Central lead, but they’re also significantly behind the Cardinals in that regard. Meanwhile, the Mets are a top-5 scoring team that has been the 2nd favorites to win the entire NL throughout the year. With New York also having the superior bullpen, they should be able to take advantage of the Brewers and their injury issues.
Be sure to check out our New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions
Jeff McNeil 2+ total bases (+150)
Let’s target a couple of Mets hitters that should help us hit the first leg of our same game parlay. We’re going to get some great value by not going with the obvious superstars like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Obviously, they’re studs and had great nights last night, but this Mets lineup is deep. It’s Jeff McNeil that’s hitting between those 2 stars and should be in for a big night. Firstly, he’s hitting .320 this season. That in itself is enough reason to trust him for this prop.
We’re also going with McNeil due to his success against lefties this season, which is what he’s facing in Ashby. With Starling Marte on the injured list, his .294 average against them is the best on the team. He also proved it by hitting an RBI single in the 1st inning the last time he faced Ashby. Although that’s just 1 total base, he has 37 doubles on the year. That’s tied for the 6th-most in the NL, so trust McNeil to continue his great season against a struggling Ashby returning from injury.
Also check out our MLB YRFI/NRFI best bets for today – we’re on a 4-0 run!
Mark Canha to record a hit (-220)
We’re again finding value by not targeting the Mets superstars. Despite being relatively unknown, Mark Canha has been a great addition to New York this season. He came over from the A’s, and it’s safe to say he’s thankful for the caliber of team he’s on this year. It was also Canha that scored on the aforementioned McNeil RBI single the last time the Mets faced Ashby. It was actually Canha that had the best game of anyone in the lineup. He hit a 2-run home run that ended up tying the game before the Mets ultimately ended up winning. He also opened up this month by recording 11 hits in the first 13 games of this month. Canha came through for us in this same game parlay back during the Subway Series, and should again tonight.
Don’t miss our MLB mega parlay for tonight’s action (+910 odds!)
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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