Ricky Dimon
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A modest 6-game schedule is on the docket for Monday as a new week in Major League Baseball gets underway. It is headlined by Reds vs Orioles, Twins vs Braves and Brewers vs Mets.
Below is my mega parlay, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks in addition to my best YRFI/NRFI bets.
Mets -1.5 (+110)
Braves -1.5 (-105)
White Sox ML (+125)
MLB parlay odds: +823
For this parlay we are going with 2 favorites on the run line and 1 underdog on the money line. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Mets -1.5 over Brewers (+110)
The Mets have been an unmitigated disaster the entire way this season. They are out of National League East race (15 games behind the Braves) and if they don’t get going in a hurry, they will also play themselves out of the wild-card discussion sooner rather than later. There may be some good news in the more immediate future, though, because Justin Verlander is taking the mound on Monday. In every other start this season, Verlander has worked at least 6.0 innings while allowing just 1 run. If the trend continues, the veteran right-hander is due or another dominant performance tonight. It should also be noted that his ERA is 3.24 at home compared to 5.67 on the road. In turn, the Mets are 2 games over .500 at Citi Field and 9 games under .500 when they are traveling. I think they can take care of the Brewers, who are 2-4 in their last 6 on the road.
Braves -1.5 over Twins (-105)
It’s a good pitching matchup in Atlanta between Spencer Strider of the Braves and Sonny Gray of the Twins, but I’ll roll with Strider and I’ll certainly side with Atlanta’s lineup over pretty much that of any other team in baseball. Strider hit a rough stretch during 2 mid-June appearances, but he has otherwise been borderline dominant this season and he was back to his normal self in his most recent outing last week at Philadelphia. The right-hander worked 6.0 innings of 1-run baseball with 9 strikeouts and no walks in that contest. Additionally, against right-handed pitching in the last 30 days Minnesota has the highest strikeout percentage in the entire league at 29.8. During this same stretch, the Braves rank second in hard-hit rate against righties and Gray’s 41.2 percent hard-hit rate ranks as his worst mark since 2016 and is in 37th percentile this season. Give me the home team to win by multiple runs.
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White Sox ML over Angels (+125)
Dylan Cease of the White Sox has been showing signs of his former self throughout the month of June. Cease, who went 14-8 with a 2.20 ERA last season, is sporting a 2.38 ERA through 4 starts this month and Chicago has won 3 of those 4. On the whole the Sox may not be anything special, but they are at least playing above-.500 baseball in June. Luis Robert Jr. extended his hitting streak to 4 games by going 3-for-4 with 2 home runs during Sunday’s 4-1 victory over Boston. Robert now has 21 HRs this year and boasts 7 multi-hit efforts this month. Chicago has great value as an underdog against the Angels, who have lost 9 of Reid Detmers’ last 12 starts.
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