Caleb Wilfinger
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With a 10-game slate of Major League Baseball taking place on Monday, there’s plenty of value to be found across the board. I have looked through today’s MLB games and found 3 picks that combine for a +703 payout at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out our MLB predictions for all of today’s games, but for now, let’s get into my MLB mega parlay for Monday.
Astros vs Rangers Over 9 (-105)
Twins -1.5 (+120)
Orioles ML (-115)
MLB parlay odds: +703
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Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Over 9 (-105)
To start off this mega parlay, I’m going with the over in this AL West clash between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers. This series has been controlled by the Astros thus far, so this talented and deep Rangers lineup will be eager to get back on track in hopes of evening this 4-game set. It just so happens that Cristian Javier has been struggling mightily for Houston of late, having allowed 10 runs on 12 hits in his last 2 outings (6.1 innings pitched). Javier’s xERA is over half a point higher than his actual ERA, so there is still room for some regression as well.
The same can be said for Martin Perez on the Rangers side of things, as he ranks in the bottom 10 percentile of all starters in xBA and whiff rate. While the first 3 games of this series have gone under the total, I expect a different outcome in Monday’s contest.
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Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Kansas City Royals (+120)
For the second leg of this parlay, I’m backing the Twins on the run line. Despite a terrible performance in his last outing against the Braves, Joe Ryan getting the start should give Minnesota a boost on Monday. The right-hander is still 8-5 on the season with a 3.44 ERA and 0.97 WHIP on the season, as he continues to be one of the American League’s most underrated pitchers. Most impressively, Ryan has tallied 105 strikeouts to just 15 walks in 96.2 innings of work, an important stat as he looks for a bounce-back effort against one of the worst lineups in baseball. Coming off an impressive series victory over the Orioles, I expect Minnesota to remain in good form and dominate Kansas City from start to finish in this one.
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Baltimore Orioles ML over New York Yankees (-115)
To close out our mega parlay, I’m going with the Orioles on the money line. It’s hard to think of how Domingo German is going to top the first perfect game thrown in 11 years. It’s certainly a given that he’s due for some regression at this point, and that should come on Monday against a much better lineup in the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore is coming off a series where it scored just 3 runs over the course of 3 games, so positive regression is surely coming in their favor as well.
Furthermore, German’s previous 2 starts prior to his perfect game were outings where he gave up 17 runs in 5.1 innings pitched. On the other side, Orioles starter Tyler Wells has been extremely consistent of late, having surrendered 2 runs or less in each of his last 6 outings. I’ll back the Orioles with confidence on Monday.
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