Kevin Davies
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Believe it or not, there’s only 2 weeks left in the MLB regular season! For a lot of teams, these last dozen games will be an all-out sprint. The Wild Card races are tighter than ever and multiple division pennants are still up for grabs. I’ve found 3 picks that make up today’s MLB parlay, which pays out at over 13/1 odds! Let’s break down each of the legs, while you can check out our MLB picks for our side and total predictions on today’s games.
Twins -1.5 (+134)
Nationals ML (+154)
Royals -1.5 (+150)
MLB parlay odds: +1385
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Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Cleveland Guardians (+134)
It’s been a fantastic season from the Cleveland Guardians, who are just 2 weeks away from being crowned AL Central Champions. Cleveland currently holds a 4-game lead over the Twins in the division, which makes this 4-game series extremely important. By Friday morning, the Guardians could have the division title locked down or be tied for first with the Twins. But the reason I think the Twins can get a game closer tonight is because the Guardians have gone cold at the plate.
Cleveland’s lineup owns just a 93 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in September, which puts them into the bottom half of the league. That’s even more concerning tonight since they have to face the surging Pablo Lopez. Lopez has been phenomenal in the last month or so as he’s surrendered just 3 earned runs in his last 5 starts. He’s pitched at least 6 innings in all 5 of those outings and has held hitters to a .242 batting average with a 25% strikeout rate. This might not be the highest-scoring game, but I could see a final score of 5-2 in favor of Minnesota.
Read our full Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction
Washington Nationals ML over New York Mets (+154)
The Nats have unloaded their prospects into their lineup. Washington didn’t have postseason aspirations in 2024 since the team is in the middle of its rebuild, so that has opened the door for plenty of prospects to get their first taste of big-league action. Some of those prospects included the new big 3: Dylan Crews, James Wood and CJ Abrams. Crews and Wood have been highly regarded prospects in the system and joined Abrams a few weeks ago to make a very young but talented top-of-the-order.
Another rising star the Nats have is Jake Irvin, who went from a backend starter in 2023 to one of the most reliable arms in the rotation in 2024. He comes into this matchup with a 4.19 ERA and just had a great start against the Braves as he allowed just 1 run and 2 hits with 5 strikeouts in 6 innings. He will be backed by a Nats lineup that ranks 5th in batting average and 8th in OPS against lefties dating back to August 1, so Sean Manaea could be in for a rough start. The Nats have plenty of value with Irvin on the mound tonight.
Kansas City Royals -1.5 over Detroit Tigers (+150)
Every game matters from here on out for the Royals and Tigers. Kansas City currently occupies the 2nd Wild Card spot while the Tigers are just 2.5 games out of stealing the 3rd spot. This series could be make or break for the Tigers, and they have to face Seth Lugo in the series opener. I’m baffled at how reasonably priced the Royals are tonight considering how well Lugo has been pitching and the fact that the Tigers have still not announced a starting pitcher. But going back to Lugo, he’s been incredible down the stretch. He’s allowed just 2 earned runs and 15 hits while recording 23 strikeouts in his last 3 starts. It wasn’t like he was facing the Rockies and stat-padding either — Lugo went up against the Astros, Guardians and Yankees in those 3 outings. The right-hander has only gotten better since the all-star break and should lead the Royals to a win, and I’m maximizing the value by taking their run line.
