Mark Lammey
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Had this game been about a month ago, it would be a tense battle for the NL Central lead. While that’s still the goal for both of these teams, the Cardinals have since taken a stranglehold on the division. The Brewers came out of the all-star break with a solid lead over the Cards, but a strong August from St. Louis allowed them to overcome that and then some. However, all is not lost for Milwaukee. This series essentially makes or breaks their chances at a pennant, so let’s break it down. Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our MLB picks for all of today’s games.
Brewers ML (-124)
Andrew McCutchen to record a hit (-170)
Paul Goldschmidt to record a hit (-165)
Parlay odds: +339
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-124) over St. Louis Cardinals
With the season hanging in the balance, the Brewers can keep their hopes alive with a win here. We’ve got a battle of the aces on the mound for this one. That means Corbin Burnes for the Brew Crew and Adam Wainwright for the Cards. Burnes should be able to lead Milwaukee to a win over the 41-year-old Wainwright. The Brewers have won all 3 of Burnes’ starts against St. Louis this year, largely off the back of the pitcher’s performances. Each of his first 2 starts against them was nearly identical. Burnes went 7.0 innings and allowed 2 hits in those 2 games. The only difference was striking out 11 batters in one and 10 in the other. That is sheer dominance.
Even Burnes’ most recent start against the Cardinals saw another 7.0 innings in which he allowed just 4 hits and 1 run. Wainwright was on the mound opposite him for the game as well. That was just 1 of the 3 losses the Cardinals have suffered behind Wainwright against the Brewers this season. Wainwright even threw 9.0 innings in that loss against Burnes, and the Cards still fell in extra innings. These starters are such an integral part of determining this game, as these teams are similar in virtually every way. They each have some incredible hitters. The Brewers have former MVPs in Christian Yelich and Andrew McCutchen, while the Cards have this year’s favorite for the award, Paul Goldschmidt. This may be a close game, but the Brewers can pull through in the end.
Be sure to check out our full Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions
Andrew McCutchen to record a hit (-170)
We’re going to target one of those former MVPs for this first player prop. McCutchen won the award back when he was with the Pirates, but he’s certainly impressed the Brewers since joining the team. He’s missed some games this season, so his raw numbers may not be up with the tops in the league. However, we’re going to target him due to his success against Wainwright. He’s 6-for-13 for a .462 average against the Cardinals’ starter. Better yet, his .769 slugging percentage proves his efficiency at the plate when facing him. McCutchen just crushed a double and home run last night, and we only need a hit from him tonight.
Find out our MLB YRFI/NRFI best bets for today!
Paul Goldschmidt to record a hit (-165)
Targeting a Cardinals hitter in this spot may seem contradictory, but Goldschmidt’s dominance this season is simply impossible to ignore. His 303 total bases are the most in the NL, and he’s 1 of just 2 hitters with at least 35 doubles and 35 home runs. He has a .602 slugging percentage, which is behind only Aaron Judge for the league lead. It’s no surprise why it’s Goldschmidt and Judge as the favorites to win their respective MVP awards. This is also about Goldschmidt’s history against Burnes. Goldschmidt is hitting .333 against the Brewers’ starter. Even a superstar like Nolan Arenado is an abysmal .133 against Burnes. Therefore, that means the Brewers can still have success while Goldschmidt only has to put 1 in play.
Don’t miss our MLB mega parlay for tonight’s action (+1005 odds!)
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