Ryan Hodges
Show Bio
The Dodgers and Mets both went into the All-Star break on a good run, which was more needed for New York. The Mets have underachieved in a big way this season as they find themselves 4th in the NL East, 19.5 games back in the division and 8 games out of the wild card. A good run is just what the Mets need, but it will not be easy against the Dodgers, who are playing well. Despite the teams’ respective records, this sets up to be a great game.
If you’re looking to have some action on this game, check out our Dodgers vs Mets SGP below. You can also read our MLB predictions for picks on the side and total.
Mets ML (-110)
Over 9.5 (+110)
No run in the first inning (-110)
Same Game Parlay odds: +800
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Mets ML (-110)
The Mets started July with a very welcome 6 consecutive wins, but they lost their last 3 games by a combined score of 15-3. It is getting late very early for the Mets if they are going to avoid selling at the trade deadline or be remotely in contention come September. The urgency is picking up in that clubhouse every day and they need to begin playing playoff baseball now. The Mets should come out focused in every game for the rest of this month to avoid a firesale.
The Dodgers will make things difficult for them, as they did on Friday night. The glass half-full for the Mets is they have already taken a 3-game series against the Dodgers earlier this year. In April, the Mets won 2 out of 3 which now with Friday’s loss gives them a 2-2 record against the Dodgers this year. If the Mets can revert to last week’s form, they will give themselves a chance.
Over 9.5 (+110)
The over has been more prominent for the Dodgers lately. The total has gone over in 9 of their last 12 games and in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. With that, the Dodgers’ over-under record on the season is 52-35-3. Regardless of their opponent, the over seems to have a good chance in Dodgers games in 2023. The run-production strength of the Dodgers combined with their starter Tony Gonsolin give the over appeal once again today.
Gonsolin has been roughed up a little bit in the last month. Over his last 4 starts, he has allowed 19 earned runs across 21 innings. If Gonsolin continues to struggled finding his stuff, then the Mets will look to pounce. It seems like a formality that the Dodgers will do their part in contributing to a high total as they have been producing at an impressive clip lately. But questionable starting pitching could give the Mets some room to produce themselves which would see this total climb.
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No runs in the first inning (-110)
Although the over has good value at plus-money, the first inning does not set up to be a contributor to a higher total. Kodai Senga is starting for the Mets and he has pitched well recently and is coming off an 8-inning, 1 earned run, 12 strikeout performance against a good Diamondbacks team. Not a single batter in the Dodgers’ projected lineup has registered an at-bat against Senga. This could be a feeling-out process for the Dodgers and their coaching staff in the first rotation through the lineup.
While Gonsolin’s recent struggles have been touched on, his most recent outing was his most promising of the tough stretch. He pitched into the 7th inning last week and earned a win against the Angels. He will look to execute a game plan which sees him get back on track.
You can also check out our MLB midseason best futures for the remainder of the regular season.
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