Mark Lammey
Show Bio
Per usual, Sundays in the MLB are always capped off with ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball game. It stands alone from the rest of the games for the weekend’s featured matchup. It’s often divisional rivalries and tonight is no exception. However, it’s difficult to call this matchup a rivalry given how the season series has gone thus far. The Dodgers have won 12 of the last 13 meetings between these teams. They’ve already gotten their redemption over the 2021 Giants by clinching the division. Despite this game not being a heated battle to decide the NL West, there are still markets to target and make this finale profitable.
Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our MLB picks for all of today’s games.
Over 7.5 total runs (-112)
Mookie Betts 2+ total bases (-110)
Justin Turner to record a hit (-195)
Parlay odds: +315
Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.
Over 7.5 total runs (-112)
We’re going to focus on the total to get things started, rather than predicting a side. Although the Dodgers have dominated the Giants this season, starter Andrew Heaney is one guy that is a bit more difficult to trust. He was the one on the mound for the Dodgers 1 loss over the last 13 meetings. That game was a Giants 7-4 win, which easily sailed over the total. Heaney allowed 6 of those runs, and wasn’t that strong in his other start against San Francisco this year. The Dodgers won the game, but he lasted just 4.0 innings. However, it was also a high-scoring game that ended with 10 total runs.
Similarly, Giants starter Alex Cobb just faced the Dodgers 11 days ago in a game that finished with 10 total runs. He hasn’t beaten LA in any of his 3 starts against them this season, but did just take down the Braves in a great performance. Therefore, he too makes the side more difficult to predict. Cobb’s first start against the Dodgers this year was also high-scoring, as it finished with 11 total runs. All of these high totals shouldn’t be surprising. LA is the highest-scoring team in baseball, and has 3 NL MVP candidates at the top of their lineup. With this being a primetime game on national TV, they should all be active. Along with a poor Giants bullpen, expect plenty of runs with all eyes on this matchup.
Be sure to check out our Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants predictions
Mookie Betts 2+ total bases (-110)
Let’s target one of those MVP candidates for our next play. Mookie Betts has already won the award, and is seemingly a candidate every year. Had he not missed time this season, he’d have a much better chance. Regardless, he’s still having an incredible season. His 282 total bases are the 5th-most in the NL, and he’s played in nearly 20 fewer games than some of the guys above him. That’s why his .551 slugging percentage is better than even those ahead of him.
Despite missing all of those games, his 34 home runs are tied for the 4th-most in the NL. Betts also has the most success against Cobb out of the Dodgers big 3 (Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Trea Turner). He has a .543 slugging percentage against him, with 5 of his 10 hits being of the extra-base variety. Betts was the only one of the big 3 to not hit this prop last night, so expect him to bounce back in the national spotlight tonight.
Justin Turner to record a hit (-195)
We’re going to pivot away from the Dodgers’ MVP candidates and go with third baseman Justin Turner to cap things off. Just because he doesn’t have an MVP attached to his name doesn’t mean he’s not a stud. He’d be the top hitter on nearly any other team, and he led LA in hits last season. He’s still averaging over a hit per game this season, and just went 3-for-4 last night. His 35 doubles are even more than Betts, so a single play on his total base prop would be valuable as well. We’re still getting great overall odds by using just his hit prop, which should be no problem against Cobb. He doesn’t have as much of a history as Betts against him, but it’s still successful. Turner is 2-for-3 with a home run against Cobb, so trust him to come through in this finale.
Also check out our YRFI/NRFI best bets for today!
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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