Andrew Ortenberg
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The 2022 MLB season is officially in full swing, and we’ve got another full slate on Friday. There are a bunch of interesting matchups, including this fun NL one between the Washington Nationals and San Francisco Giants. It should be a great one, streamed nationally by AppleTV+.
What better way to celebrate this weekend showdown than by betting a same game parlay? We also have thoughts on the side and total, which you can find out in our full game preview.
San Francisco Giants -3.5 alt run line (+230)
Alex Wood to record 7+ strikeouts (+250)
Parlay odds: +901
We’ve got a two-leg parlay here, one which pays out just north of 19/1 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s break it down:
San Francisco Giants -3.5 alt run line (+230)
To start this same game parlay off we’ve got the Giants on an alt run line. Everyone wrote the Giants’ success last season off as a fluke, but it’s starting to look like that wasn’t the case. San Francisco has started 13-6 this time around, once again proving most of their doubters wrong. They’ve won five of six, with three of those wins coming by at least six runs. Clearly they’ve got the offensive upside necessary to cover an alt run line.
On the flip side, the Nationals are starting to circle the drain. Washington has started just 6-15, and it’s already starting to feel like they should turn their attention to next season with the current eight-game losing streak they’re riding. These teams just played each other in a series last weekend, and the Giants swept it.
The cumulative score across the three games was 24-6 in favor of San Francisco. Nationals starter Aaron Sanchez gave up four runs in 4 and 1/3 innings in his only appearance of 2022 so far. There’s also a huge relief pitching gap here, as the Giants have the best bullpen ERA in all of baseball at a minuscule 1.54. No other team is even below 2.28.
Alex Wood to record 7+ strikeouts (+250)
This correlates nicely with the first leg of our same game parlay. If Wood is dealing on the mound, then the Giants definitely have a much better chance of covering the -3.5 alt spread. Wood has increased his strikeout rate in recent years, and doesn’t get enough credit for his ability to punch guys out. At +250, a bet only has to hit 28.6 percent of the time to be profitable.
Last season Wood made 26 starts, and he got to at least seven strikeouts in 12 of those. That’s a rate north of 46 percent, far better than the chances he’s being given by oddsmakers here. Wood was much better pitching in his home park last year, which is another factor to keep in mind.
And now he’s getting to face an anemic Nationals lineup that has gone nine straight games now without scoring more than three runs.
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?
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