Kyle Lupas
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We have all 30 teams in action this Friday, and I’ve cooked up a 3-leg parlay consisting of 1 favorite on the runline and a pair of underdogs to win outright. Backing this parlay on Fanduel Sportsbook will payout at generous +740 odds. Below I’ll provide a breakdown of each individual leg and don’t forget to check out our MLB predictions for every game today.
Royals ML (+116)
Reds -1.5 (-108)
Twins ML (+102)
MLB parlay odds: +740
Kansas City Royals over New York Mets (+116)
I must admit, I was a little bit skeptical of the Royals before their 3-game set with the Houston Astros earlier in the week. Obviously, I was dead wrong about this team, as they not only swept the Astros, but did so with relative ease. Kansas City outscored Houston 28-8 in the series and plated 9 runs in the first inning of their final game yesterday. The Royals now own the longest current win streak in the MLB at 7 games. I like their chances to at least extend that mark to 8 games, especially going up against the underperforming New York Mets, who are just 5-7 to start the season.
The Mets do have some momentum entering this series having taken 2 out of 3 games from the Atlanta Braves, but I’m not high on starting pitcher Luis Severino. Severino owns a 3.60 ERA across his first 2 starts, but it’s extremely misleading considering he surrendered 11 hits through 5 innings in his Mets’ debut but allowed just 3 earned runs. Meanwhile, Royals’ starter Michael Wacha has been extremely reliable throughout his career and is coming off a 7-inning, 2-hit shutout in his last outing.
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 over Chicago White Sox (-108)
The Cincinnati Reds may have dropped their last 2 games to the Milwaukee Brewers after winning the series opener, but I like their chances to bounce back today when they travel to Chicago for a 3-game set with the White Sox. The White Sox are off to a horrendous start to the season, winning just 2 of their first 12 games with little to no production at the plate. They rank dead last in runs per game (2.42) and they’re hitting just .212 as a team. That number drops to .198 against lefties, and they’ll be going up against a promising, young, left-hander in Reds’ starter Andrew Abbott. Abbott is coming off an encouraging rookie campaign in which he posted a 3.87 ERA across 21 outings. Through a pair of starts this season, Abbott has hardly given up hard contact, posting an 18.8% hard-hit rate.
The White Sox counter with 29-year-old right-hander Chris Flexen, who has really struggled over the past couple of seasons. Flexen posted a 6.86 ERA last season across 102.1 innings, making 29 total appearances, 16 of which were out of the starting rotation. There hasn’t been much improvement shown through a pair of starts with Chicago, as Flexen allowed at least 3 earned runs in both outings. Flexen isn’t a huge strikeout pitcher and the wind is going to be blowing out in Chicago tonight. I’ll back the Reds to get a few runs on the board early and hold on to win.
Minnesota Twins over Detroit Tigers (+102)
Much like the Chicago White Sox, the Minnesota Twins have struggled at the plate to begin the season. Through 10 games, Minnesota has scored just 29 runs with a .184 team batting average and has failed to score more than 3 runs in their last 5 games. However, the Twins are top-10 in team ERA (3.68) and have their ace on the hill in Pablo Lopez. Lopez put together a remarkable 2023 season in his first season with the Twins, and he’s off to a great start in 2024, posting a 2.84 ERA with just 1 walk across 12.2 innings. In addition to that, the Twins have played just 3 games since Sunday, with rain-outs on Sunday and Thursday and have one of the best bullpens in baseball with a 3.34 xFIP. Although Tarik Skubal is unarguably one of the games brightest young pitchers, the Twins are due for some positive regression offensively, and I’ll back them in what should be a low-scoring affair.
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