Ryan Hodges
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This series features a bit of a surprise as there was not much hype around the Diamondbacks entering the season. The Brewers winning the NL Central was not much of a surprise, but they will have their hands full with this Diamondbacks team that locked in the NL’s last wild-card spot. This Brewers team will look to take the next step while the Diamondbacks are looking to prove they are here to stay. As a result, this has all the makings of a close and intriguing series. If you’re looking to have some action on this game, check out our Diamondbacks vs Brewers Same Game Parlay below for their matchup on Tuesday. You can also read our MLB predictions for picks on every game today.
Brewers ML (-180)
Under 8.5 (-145)
Christian Yelich 2+ total bases (+115)
Same Game Parlay odds: +475
Milwaukee Brewers ML over Arizona Diamondbacks (-180)
The Brewers had a bit of a scare from the Cubs for the division crown early in September. Milwaukee has played great baseball since and plainly took care of business down the stretch. They enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games, whereas the Diamondbacks have dropped 4 of their last 5 games, as well as 6 of their last 9 on the road. Head to head, the Brewers have won 14 of the last 18 games.
Milwaukee has a major edge in the starting pitching matchup, which is a key reason to like them on Tuesday. Rookie Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Diamondbacks and ace Corbin Burnes will start for the Brewers. Pfaadt just has not put it together yet at the big league level and will face a proven top pitcher in the game. This one looks better for the Brewers to kick off the series.
Be sure to check out our full Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions
Under 8.5 (-145)
As mentioned, Corbin Burnes will get the ball for the Brewers in Game 1. Any time Burnes has the ball, the under looks good. He won the Cy Young in 2021, had a 2.94 ERA in 2022, and had another solid season this year as he enters this game in strong form. Arizona has scored 6 runs in their last 5 games, so Burnes should be able to do his part just fine in contributing to a low total.
The under has been trending for both teams recently. The under has hit in 4 of the Diamondbacks’ last 5 games and has been even more prominent in Brewers games. The total has gone under in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games, in 6 of their last 7 at home and in 12 of their last 17 against Arizona. Until things change with either of these teams, the under continues to be a reliable pick.
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Christian Yelich 2+ total bases (+115)
Christian Yelich had a much-needed bounce-back season after a couple of tough years which followed an MVP award in 2018 and finishing MVP runner-up in 2019. Yelich is back to being a consistent contributor and on Tuesday gets a favorable matchup against a young, inexperienced pitcher. In 19 appearances during the regular season, Brandon Pfaadt was 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA. The Brewers should be able to generate offense and when they do, Yelich has as good of a chance as anyone to be involved.
Yelich will likely bat leadoff ahead of some combination of William Contreras, Carlos Santana, Mark Cahna, Rowdy Tellez and Willy Adames. All Yelich has to do is get on base once and he will have a good chance to advance on the basepaths. Yelich led the team this season in walks, on-base percentage, stolen bases and runs scored. This guy gets around the bases and this is great value for him to collect just 2 of them.
You can also read today’s YRFI/NRFI best bets from our MLB expert who finished the season on a 33-19 run!
