Filip Tomic
All eyes are on Los Angeles this Tuesday as Luka Doncic and his Lakers face his old team the Dallas Mavericks. If that alone isn’t enticing enough for you to watch, I’ve also spiced things up with a Mavericks vs Lakers Same Game Parlay at +431 odds. You can also find out our NBA picks for tonight’s big matchups, but for now, let’s dive into my SGP.
Lakers -8 (-110)
LeBron James to record 8+ rebounds (-120)
P.J. Washington to score 15+ points (-180)
Mavericks vs Lakers Same Game Parlay odds: +431
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LA Lakers -8 over Dallas Mavericks (-110)
The current state of the Dallas Mavericks just isn’t good. The injury bug has hit this team hard and they’ll once again be without their front line of Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II and Daniel Gafford in tonight’s game against the Lakers. We saw just how much they’re vulnerable on the inside in Sunday’s 126-102 loss at Golden State. Even against a team that doesn’t really have a big inside presence, they allowed 60 points inside the paint, which is bad news going into a game against a Lakers squad that puts up the 9th-most points per game from that area.
Luka Doncic finally got the monkey off his back and had his best game as a Laker, dropping 32 points and collecting 10 rebounds in the blowout win at Denver. The Lakers also have the rest advantage here, as Dallas just played on Sunday in Golden State and had to travel right after the game. Revenge will be on the mind of the Lakers players here as they lost the first meeting by 21 points back in January, plus you just know Doncic will want to get one over his former team to send out a message that trading him away was a huge mistake. I’ll take LA to cover at home to start our Mavericks vs Lakers Same Game Parlay.
Read our full Dallas Mavericks vs LA Lakers prediction
LeBron James to record 8+ rebounds (-120)
With all those frontcourt players out injured for the Mavericks, they have been very vulnerable in the rebounding department. Over their last 3 games, they’ve allowed teams to get 57.3 rebounds per game, which is the 7th-most in the league during this stretch and an increase of 4.2 per game compared to their season average. This is one of the reasons why I believe LeBron James will excel in this area on Tuesday.
The King has been playing extremely well lately, almost as if he isn’t in his 22nd season and 40 years old. Over his last 15 games, LeBron is averaging 8.3 rebounds per game and has had at least 7 rebounds in 11 of those, which is confidence-inspiring consistency. It gets even better in head-to-head meetings with the Mavs – LeBron had 10 boards in the first meeting this season and over the last 10 games he’s averaged 8.7 per game while clearing this line 7 times.
Lock in JutPicks’ best NBA player prop bets for tonight’s slate
P.J. Washington to score 15+ points (-180)
Apart from one bad game against the Houston Rockets in which he played only 16 minutes due to an ankle sprain, Washington has been a consistent 2nd scoring option for the Mavericks in the last 11 games. During this stretch, he’s averaging 19.2 points per game on over 48% from the field and 42.3% from three. The three-ball efficiency is particularly impressive, especially for a player of his size and the number of attempts per game he’s taking (4.7).
Dallas should be well aware that they cannot get a result here solely relying on Kyrie Irving, as we saw what happened in the Golden State game when Irving was slow to get going. Washington delivered 17 in that one, clearing this line for the 9th time in 11 games. With the Lakers ranking in the bottom 10 in opponent points per game inside the paint (49.5), I think it’s safe to say the Mavs will look to Washington early and often here.
Find out our Cavaliers vs Magic prediction for tonight’s first game on TNT
