Ricky Dimon
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It was the end of an era for the Las Vegas Raiders at the end of last season (actually before the end of last season), as veteran quarterback Derek Carr moved on from the franchise following 9 years as the starter under center. Carr has now taken his talents to New Orleans, replaced at QB by Jimmy Garoppolo.
Change is not necessarily a bad thing for the Raiders, who never won a single playoff game during the Carr era and are coming off a 6-11 campaign in 2022. With Garoppolo running the offense, will year 2 under head coach Josh McDaniels see the turning of the tide? Let’s take a look at some of the odds and best bets to be made on the Las Vegas Raiders in 2023.
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Las Vegas Raiders breakdown
2022 record: 6-11
2022 ATS record: 8-9
2022 O/U record: 8-9
Key players in: Jimmy Garoppolo (QB), Jakobi Meyers (WR), Marcus Epps (S), Robert Spillane (LB), Austin Hooper (TE), Marcus Peters (CB)
Key players out: Derek Carr (QB), Foster Moreau (TE), Rock Ya-Sin (CB), Andrew Billings (DT), Clelin Ferrell (DE), Mack Hollins (WR)
2023 NFL Draft class: Tyree Wilson (DE), Michael Mayer (TE), Byron Young (DT), Tre Tucker (WR), Jakorian Bennett (CB), Aidan O’Connell (QB), Christopher Smith (S), Amari Burney (LB), Nesta Jade Silvera (DT)
Head over to the Pickswise NFL futures guide for odds and predictions on various betting markets
Las Vegas Raiders 2023 NFL season odds
Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
Las Vegas Raiders Super Bowl odds
The Raiders are +6500 to win Super Bowl LVIII. That puts them tied at #21 on the list of favorites (the Giants, Commanders, Patriots and Packers are also +6500).
Las Vegas Raiders AFC Championship odds
Las Vegas is +4000 to win the AFC, making it the #13 choice (behind New England, which is +3500).
Las Vegas Raiders AFC West odds
At +1200, the Raiders are the longshots to win the AFC West. They trail Kansas City (-165), the Chargers (+340) and the Broncos (+550).
Las Vegas Raiders win total odds
The Raiders’ win quota is 6.5 games, with the under priced as a -130 favorite and the over coming in with +110 odds. They are +500 to finish with exactly 6 victories.
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Las Vegas Raiders 2023 schedule
Week 1: at Denver Broncos
Week 2: at Buffalo Bills
Week 3: vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 4: at Los Angeles Chargers
Week 5: vs Green Bay Packers (Monday)
Week 6: vs New England Patriots
Week 7: at Chicago Bears
Week 8: at Detroit Lions (Monday)
Week 9: vs New York Giants
Week 10: vs New York Jets
Week 11: at Miami Dolphins
Week 12: vs Kansas City Chiefs
Week 13: BYE
Week 14: vs Minnesota Vikings
Week 15: vs Los Angeles Chargers (Thursday)
Week 16: at Kansas City Chiefs (Monday)
Week 17: at Indianapolis Colts
Week 18: vs Denver Broncos
We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2023 season
Las Vegas Raiders 2022 season recap
The Raiders endured a second consecutive tumultuous season. In 2021, head coach Jon Gruden was fired just 5 games into the second year of his contract due to off-the-field controversy. In 2022, Carr got benched following a Week 16 loss and then left the team. That Week 16 setback at Pittsburgh dropped Las Vegas to 6-9, eliminating it from playoff contention. McDaniels’ squad promptly lost its next 2 contests, finishing at 6-11. There were some individual bright spots, however. Running back Josh Jacobs was the NFL rushing leader, wide receiver Davante Adams had 1,516 yards and 14 touchdowns and defensive end Maxx Crosby recorded 12.5 sacks.
Read our AFC Championship predictions and best bets, including a +1500 longshot
Las Vegas Raiders 2023 NFL season predictions
As the odds suggest, Las Vegas is expected to be the worst team in the AFC West and among the worst teams in the entire conference. After all, they struggled mightily last year and now Carr is gone. Garoppolo has plenty of experience as a starting quarterback in the NFL, but it is fair to say that he comes with question marks. An even bigger question is Jacobs’ status, as the star RB is holding out and currently unwilling to sign his franchise tag.
Here are a couple of my Las Vegas-related predictions for the upcoming season.
Best bet: Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs (+380)
To be abundantly clear, I would avoid betting on (or against) the Raiders like the plague until we find out for sure what Jacobs is going to do. If Jacobs either doesn’t play for the team or misses a significant chunk of time, that changes everything. If he ends up being ready to go for Week 1, Las Vegas can compete for a playoff spot. Jacobs is one of the best running backs in the game, this club also has a star at the WR position in Adams and Garoppolo is a quarterback who has been to the Super Bowl. On the other side of the ball, pairing Crosby with first-round pick Tyree Wilson on the defensive line could be scary. The Raiders may not be great, but they can be good enough to steal a wild-card spot and at +380 odds that play has good value – if you risk making the assumption that Jacobs is playing.
Las Vegas Raiders season record predictions
This would obviously be just a small bet, but to correlate with the bet on Las Vegas to make the playoffs I would not be opposed to sprinkling a play an exact record of 9-8. At huge +750 odds, this number has good value (it is the fifth most likely outcome for the Raiders per the odds, trailing 6, 7, 8 and 5.
Find out which players we are targeting for our NFL MVP best bets
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