Ricky Dimon
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The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl LVII last season and they head into the 2023 NFL campaign as favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII. And why not? Patrick Mahomes is still under center and his favorite pass-catching weapon in Travis Kelce is back in action. Head coach Andy Reid hasn’t yet opted for retirement, so the Chiefs’ nucleus remains intact.
Is another Lombardi Trophy in the cards for Kansas City this coming February? If not, which contenders have a chance of taking them down? Let’s take a look at some of the odds and best bets to be made on the Kansas City Chiefs in 2023.
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Kansas City Chiefs breakdown
2022 record: 14-3
2022 ATS record: 5-11-1
2022 O/U record: 8-9
Key players in: Jawaan Taylor (OT), Charles Omenihu (DE), Donovan Smith (OT)
Key players out: Orlando Brown (OT), JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR), Juan Thornhill (S), Andrew Wylie (OT), Frank Clark (DE), Mecole Hardman (WR)
2023 NFL Draft class: Felix Anudike-Uzomah (DE), Rashee Rice (WR), Wanya Morris (OT), Chamarri Conner (S), BJ Thompson (LB), Keondre Coburn (DT), Nic Jones (CB)
Head over to the Pickswise NFL futures guide for odds and predictions on various betting markets
Kansas City Chiefs 2023 NFL season odds
Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl odds
The Chiefs are +600 favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII, ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles (+650), Buffalo Bills (+900), San Francisco 49ers (+1000) and Cincinnati Bengals (+1100).
Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship odds
Kansas City is +350 to triumph in the AFC – also making it the favorite in its own conference. Buffalo is +450 and Cincinnati is +550.
Kansas City Chiefs AFC West odds
At -165, the Chiefs are obviously favored in the AFC West. The Los Angeles Chargers are next at +340 and they are followed by the Denver Broncos (+550) and Las Vegas Raiders (+1200).
Kansas City Chiefs win total odds
The Chiefs’ win quota is 11.5 games. Over 11.5 is a -140 favorite, while the under comes with +120 odds. They are +475 to finish with exactly 12 victories.
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Kansas City Chiefs 2023 schedule
Week 1: vs Detroit Lions (Thursday)
Week 2: at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 3: vs Chicago Bears
Week 4: at New York Jets
Week 5: at Minnesota Vikings
Week 6: vs Denver Broncos (Thursday)
Week 7: vs Los Angeles Chargers
Week 8: at Denver Broncos
Week 9: vs Miami Dolphins (Germany)
Week 10: BYE
Week 11: vs Philadelphia Eagles (Monday)
Week 12: at Las Vegas Raiders
Week 13: at Green Bay Packers
Week 14: vs Buffalo Bills
Week 15: at New England Patriots (Monday)
Week 16: vs Las Vegas Raiders (Monday)
Week 17: vs Cincinnati Bengals
Week 18: at Los Angeles Chargers
We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2023 season
Kansas City Chiefs 2022 season recap
The Chiefs were not exactly dominant during the regular season despite compiling a 14-3 record, as they frequently messed around with lesser opponents and went just 5-11-1 ATS against the spread. However, Patrick Mahomes and company were accustomed to winning close games heading into the playoffs and already being battle tested proved to be beneficial when it mattered most. Kansas City scraped past Jacksonville 27-20 in the divisional round, edged Cincinnati 23-20 in the AFC Championship and outlasted Philadelphia 38-35 in the Super Bowl.
Read our AFC Championship predictions and best bets, including a +1500 longshot
Kansas City Chiefs 2023 NFL season predictions
As the odds indicate, Kansas City should be one of the best teams – if not the best – in the NFL. With Mahomes running the offense and Reid roaming the sidelines, you just know this franchise is always going to be in the mix. With the roster looking similar enough to that of recent years gone by, there is no reason to think the Chiefs will decline in 2023.
Here are couple of my K.C.-related predictions for the upcoming season.
Best bet: Kansas City Chiefs Over 11.5 wins (-140)
Even at a price of -140, the Chiefs going over 11.5 wins is a bet that has great value. Now that there are 18 weeks and 17 games for each club in an NFL season, asking the cream of the crop to pocket at least 12 victories really isn’t too much. A record of 12-5 is very good, but by no means is it anything crazy. Heck, Kansas City has reached the 12-win mark in 5 straight seasons (3 of those with only 16 games played instead of 17) and it has also reached 12 in 6 of the last 7. Looking at the schedule, the Chiefs’ road slate is friendly. They get to play the Bengals, Bills and Eagles all at home. I think they will go over their quota – and probably with room to spare.
Kansas City Chiefs season record predictions
As mentioned above, the over should be the way to go for this season. The defending Super Bowl champions may even go 14-3 or better, but I think the best bet is on 13-4. After all, the overall schedule is relatively difficult and if the Chiefs have already locked up the AFC West and their playoff seeding prior to the end of the regular season then they could give Mahomes and other starters some rest. A small play on Kansas City going exactly 13-4 at +500 odds seems like a good idea.
Find out which players we are targeting for our NFL MVP best bets
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