Caleb Wilfinger
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It was just 4 seasons ago that the Houston Texans were one of the best teams in the NFL. However, things haven’t been the same since Houston blew a 24-0 lead to the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round back in January 2020. Since that point, the Texans have fallen off a cliff, finishing with a combined record of 11-34-1 over the last 3 regular seasons. This season represents a new start for Houston, as the Texans had their most productive NFL Draft in years and signed a myriad of free agents that should aid their rookies during this rebuilding process. Let’s take a look at some of the odds and best bets to be made on the Houston Texans this season.
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Houston Texans breakdown
2022 record: 3-13-1
2022 ATS record: 8-8-1
2022 O/U record: 7-10
Key players in: Robert Woods (WR), Devin Singletary (RB), Dalton Schultz (TE) Sheldon Rankins (DT).
Key players out: Tremon Smith (CB), Jordan Akins (TE), Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (DE).
2023 NFL Draft class: C.J. Stroud (QB), Will Anderson (EDGE), Juice Scruggs (C), Nathaniel Dell (WR), Dylan Horton (DE), Henry To’oto’o (LB), Xavier Hutchinson (WR), Brandon Hill (S).
Head over to the Pickswise NFL futures betting guide for odds and predictions on various betting markets
Houston Texans 2023 NFL season odds
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook
Houston Texans Super Bowl odds
At +18000, the Texans are essentially given no chance to win the Super Bowl by the oddsmakers.
Houston Texans AFC Championship odds
The Texans currently sit at +8500 to win the AFC. This puts them at dead last in the conference according to the oddsmakers.
Houston Texans AFC South odds
The Texans are +1000 to win the AFC South, putting them at last in the division.
Houston Texans win total odds
The Texans win total is 6.5 games. Over XX is at +116, while the under comes with -140 odds.
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Houston Texans 2023 schedule
Week 1: at Baltimore Ravens
Week 2: vs Indianapolis Colts
Week 3: at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 4: vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 5: at Atlanta Falcons
Week 6: vs New Orleans Saints
Week 7: BYE
Week 8: at Carolina Panthers
Week 9: vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 10: at Cincinnati Bengals
Week 11: vs Arizona Cardinals
Week 12: vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 13: vs Denver Broncos
Week 14: at New York Jets
Week 15: at Tennessee Titans
Week 16: vs Cleveland Browns
Week 17: vs Tennessee Titans
Week 18: at Indianapolis Colts
We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2023 season
Houston Texans 2022 NFL season recap
Much like the two years priors, the 2022 NFL season was another miserable campaign for the Houston Texans, as they finished with a 3-13-1 record and ended up with the 2nd pick in the 2023 NFL Draft as a result. The offense never got off the ground thanks to poor quarterback play and the defense couldn’t keep opposing offenses out of the end zone. After a Week 1 tie against the Colts, Houston won just 3 games for the remainder of the season and it was clear that the Texans desperately needed a change.
Houston Texans 2023 NFL season predictions
Bringing in a solid draft class is a good start to building a consistent contender, especially in a conference as loaded as the AFC. Realistically it makes sense for Houston to have another season where the team loses 12 or more games, gets a high draft pick and builds more toward a future playoff appearance or division title. The Texans first have to see if their pick at #2 overall was the right one, as CJ Stroud will begin his rookie season with a trip to Baltimore for a date with a formidable Ravens defense. The offense got a full overhaul with the additions of Dalton Schultz, Devin Singletary and more, while the defense added Will Anderson Jr. in the draft and Sheldon Rankins via free agency. Let’s get into our best bet for the Texans this season.
Best bet: Houston Texans under 6.5 wins (-140)
While there are promising building blocks on this Texans roster, it’s hard to imagine a world in which Houston picks up 7 wins with a rookie quarterback, new head coach and an abundance of new pieces across the roster. The talent isn’t on par with the top 2 teams in the AFC South, and Houston doesn’t even have a player like Jonathan Taylor who can divert defenses attention away from its rookie under center. The problem becomes the schedule. While the Texans do draw the NFC South, Houston also has to face the entirety of the AFC North, in addition to the likes of the Broncos, Jets and more. Getting to a respectable 7 wins is a tall task for most young teams, much less a squad that is breaking in so many new parts. I’ll take the under with relative comfort.
Houston Texans season record prediction: 4-13
I can’t see the Texans winning more than 2 games in the division, and that’s a generous projection. Elsewhere, I have Houston knocking off Tampa Bay and Arizona, but games at Carolina and at Atlanta are also winnable in theory. With roughly 6 or 7 games where I could see a win on the schedule, I’ll take Houston to slightly improve on its win total of the last few seasons and finish with a 4-13 record.
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