Ricky Dimon
The semifinal lineup at Roland Garros will be set following Wednesday’s order of play. We already know that on the women’s side, Aryna Sabalenka will face Iga Swiatek on Thursday. In the men’s draw, a potential semifinal looms between Jannik Sinner and whoever wins the upcoming Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic showdown. Of course, none of those guys will be looking past Wednesday. Let’s take a look at my French Open best bets on the Day 11 schedule.
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French Open best bet: Novak Djokovic ML over Alexander Zverev (-110)
Djokovic leads the head-to-head series 8-5, including 3-0 in completed matches at majors (not including a retirement by the Serb in this season’s Australian Open semis). The 24-time Grand Slam champion is simply a different player when he is motivated – as we saw in 2024 when he reached the Roland Garros quarterfinals (ended up withdrawing) despite being injured, made a run to the Wimbledon final despite again being less than 100 percent and won singles gold at the Paris Olympics – yes, at Roland Garros.
The pressure is all on Zverev since a Grand Slam title continues to elude him, plus he hasn’t been playing great this year. I’m not prepared to fade Djokovic at a slam against anyone other than Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz. That could change as Djokovic approaches 40 years of age, but for now that remains the case.
French Open Parlay: Coco Gauff ML over Madison Keys and Mirra Andreeva ML over Lois Boisson (-136)
The big part of this French Open parlay, of course, is Coco Gauff vs Madison Keys. Gauf is playing incredible tennis this spring. A former French Open runner-up, Gauff advanced to the final of both Madrid and Rome last month and she hasn’t dropped a single set so far at Roland Garros. Keys could be competitive in this matchup on a faster surface, but a slow clay court will make things more difficult for the reigning Australian Open champion.
As for the other match, Mirra Andreeva beating Lois Boisson should be a formality. The underdog Frenchwoman is playing just her second-ever event on the main tour, so this is already a shocking result for her. I have cashed 7 consecutive 2-player parlays during the 2025 French Open, including 3 straight that have involved 2 women on the money line. A Gauff-Andreeva combo was an easy winner for me 2 days ago, so let’s go right back to the well.
French Open prediction: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Under 7.5 service breaks (-150)
If this is a quick 3-set match (as expected), it won’t last long enough to produce a lot of service breaks. If it’s a relatively long contest, that probably means Bublik is holding serve on a consistent basis. After all, the Kazakh isn’t going to make this competitive by breaking his opponent a whole bunch of times. Sinner has been broken only twice through 4 rounds this fortnight, holding serve at a 96 percent rate. Bublik isn’t too far behind at 88 percent (broken 8 times through 4 matches despite playing a 5-setter and a 4-setter). In 16 head-to-head sets against each other, there have been a modest 16 total breaks.
