Matt Selz
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Ah, the tradition that is Silverstone! It’s been hosting Grands Prix since 1948 and been the official home of the British Grand Prix since 1987 after a rotation with Brands Hatch. As we gear up for round 10 of the 2022 F1 schedule with the Formula 1 Lenovo British Grand Prix, let’s take a look at some betting strategies, odds, outright winner and prop bets.
F1 British Grand Prix odds
Below are the odds for the outright winner of the British Grand Prix, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:
Max Verstappen -105
Charles Leclerc +195
Lewis Hamilton +1100
Carlos Sainz +1100
Sergio Perez +1100
George Russell +1300
Lando Norris +14000
Fernando Alonso +16000
Nicholas Latifi +20000
Silverstone F1 race track guide & betting strategy
The famed Silverstone Circuit has changed layouts a few different times in its life but no matter the layout, one thing has always been true. It’s always one of the fastest tracks on the F1 schedule. Perhaps that’s fitting given that it’s built on the grounds of a former RAF airfield. The straights are quite fast while the famed, named, corners and esses are still amongst the most-challenging combinations on the schedule. Expect to see speeds much like we saw in Melbourne and Bahrain with a surface that’s more in line with Montreal.
Betting strategy for the British Grand Prix this weekend is very similar to the ones we used a few races earlier this season. As mentioned above, Silverstone is comparable to Melbourne, Bahrain and Spain in terms of combos of speed and corners. The cars that have been quick in straight-line speed should have an advantage this weekend and we’ll also need the teams that have a handle on how to call the pit strategy. Losing time in the pits or being undercut here can seriously hamper chances of winning late unless there’s a safety car.
2022 British Grand Prix outright winner bets
All odds listed at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Max Verstappen (-105)
How can we not go with the championship leader? He’s been excellent all year at all types of tracks and Silverstone shouldn’t be any different. Even when he’s not been on the pole, he’s either been fast enough to run down his competition in front of him or Red Bull has been smart enough with pit strategy to get him into the lead. This weekend should be no different. They’re the ones who have been able to control porpoising the best and Verstappen used that to his advantage at the tracks where straight-line speed has been important, like Silverstone.
Lewis Hamilton (+1100)
There are signs of life from Mercedes over the last few weeks. Hamilton has finished in the top-five in three of the last four races this year and outran his teammate convincingly in Montreal. There’s been some debate as to whether or not Hamilton is still the number one driver at Mercedes but as of right now it’s basically who’s ever faster that week gets top strategy. Hamilton has dominated Silverstone previously and if the upgrades for Mercedes help in straight-line speed, they could be very competitive at his home race.
George Russell (+1300)
This is the first time that Russell will have a real shot to compete at his home grand prix. Yes, he’s raced this before for Williams, but come on now… this is Mercedes we’re talking about. He’s finished in the top-five in every race this year and on the podium a few times as well. He will get the upgrades on his Silver Arrow just like Hamilton and with him already being as consistent as he’s been it can only help compete for wins. If he’s faster than Hamilton on Sunday, he’ll get top priority for strategy.
Best 2022 British GP prop bets
All odds listed at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Alpine double top-10 finish (-110)
They’ve pulled off this feat three times in the last four races, and four times on the year. The combo of Esteban Ocon and Fernando Alonso has them closing in on McLaren for fourth in the Constructor standings. Another double top-10 weekend for Alpine and they will be neck and neck with the orange-clad bunch for the best of the rest.
Yuki Tsunoda top-10 finish (+265)
This is a case in which the eye test has more to do with this pick than the results. Tsunoda has three top-10s in nine races this year, but he’s had bad luck along the way. The Alphatauri driver has shown fairly consistent top-10 speed over the last several races but has had mechanical issues or penalties that have kept him from reaching the points. If he can realize the speed in the car and run a complete race, he should be able to finish in the top half of the field this weekend.
Esteban Ocon top-6 finish (+380)
So we’re in on Alpine having a double top-10; it seems fitting we’d be targeting a driver prop here too. Ocon has finished in the top-seven spots five of the nine races this year. Two of those were P6 including last week. All of the top-sevens have come at similar tracks to Silverstone as well not to mention he’s only moved backward in the field twice.
George Russell podium finish (+200)
The logic here seems simple right? He’s finished P5 or better in every race and on the podium thrice. Spain and Australia, two similar tracks to Silverstone, were two of those three P3 finishes. He’s also beaten his teammate, Lewis Hamilton, in every race but two indicating he’s got a better shot at a podium as well. If you’re feeling lucky you can also bet Mercedes for a Double Podium Finish at +750.
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